Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency? — Before Jan 1, 2028
kalshi · 2 contracts · 2 deadlines · $1.2k traded · market at 29%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency? — Before Jan 20, 202 | 0.250 | 0.330 | 29% | 2029-01-20 | $1.2k |
| kalshi | Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency? — Before Jan 1, 2028 | 0.100 | 0.190 | 14% | 2028-01-01 | — |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- ABC — https://abcnews.go.com/
- Axios — https://www.axios.com/
- CBS — https://www.cbsnews.com/
- CNN — https://www.cnn.com/
- Fox News — https://www.foxnews.com/
- MSNBC — https://www.msnbc.com/
- Politico — https://www.politico.com/
- Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/
- Semafor — https://www.semafor.com/
- the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/
- The Information — https://www.theinformation.com/
- The New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com/
- The Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/
- The Washington Post — https://www.washingtonpost.com/
- the White House — https://www.whitehouse.gov/