Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice? — Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · 4 contracts · 4 deadlines · $2.8k traded · market at 60%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice? — Before Jan 1, 2027 | 0.570 | 0.640 | 60% | 2027-01-01 | $2.8k |
| kalshi | Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice? — Before Nov 1, 2026 | 0.170 | 0.250 | 21% | 2026-11-01 | — |
| kalshi | Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice? — Before Apr 1, 2027 | 0.720 | 0.800 | 76% | 2027-04-01 | — |
| kalshi | Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice? — Before Dec 1, 2026 | 0.440 | 0.530 | 48% | 2026-12-01 | — |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- The Washington Post — https://www.washingtonpost.com/
- The White House — https://www.whitehouse.gov
- Associated Press — https://apnews.com
- BBC — https://www.bbc.co.uk
- ABC News — https://abcnews.go.com/
- New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com/
- CNBC — https://www.cnbc.com
- POLITICO — https://www.politico.com
- NBC — https://www.nbcnews.com/
- Financial Times — https://www.ft.com
- Bloomberg — https://bloomberg.org
- CNN — https://www.cnn.com/
- The Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/
- Fox News — https://www.foxnews.com
- Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/
- MSNBC — https://www.msnbc.com
- CBS News — https://www.cbsnews.com/