Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $6.5k traded · market at 14%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045? | 0.120 | 0.140 | 13% | 2045-01-29 | $5.6k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Office of the Presidency — https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/executive-office-o