Wisconsin Governor margin of victory — Crowley, 4+ pts
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $6.4k traded · market at 50%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Wisconsin Governor margin of victory — Crowley, 4+ pts | 0.400 | 0.490 | 44% | 2027-11-03 | $5.5k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- official election authority responsible for certifying results in <geography> — https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.