polyrag

← Decided

BTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $78,000 or above

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-14T21:00 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 13 → 93 in the last 48h bid 0.930 / ask 0.940 6.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

What the contract requires

Condition. CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) simple average of the 60 seconds before 5:00 PM EDT on September 14, 2026, is above 77,999.99

Named authority. CF Benchmarks

Form the evidence must take. CF Benchmarks must publish the BRTI real-time prices for the 60 seconds before 5:00 PM EDT on September 14, 2026, and the computed simple average. The rules state: 'At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.'

Does not count.

Deadline. 2026-09-14T17:00:00-04:00

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

The current time is 17:56 UTC, which is 1:56 PM EDT — before the 5:00 PM EDT deadline. No evidence shows the BRTI 60-second average for that time, and the supplied sources are unrelated to BTC or CF Benchmarks' BRTI.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require CF Benchmarks to publish the BRTI real-time prices for the 60 seconds before 5:00 PM EDT on September 14, 2026, and the computed simple average. No such CF Benchmarks publication is cited in the evidence.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

CF Benchmarks publishing the official BRTI 60-second average for the minute before 5:00 PM EDT on September 14, 2026, showing whether it is above or below $78,000.

Sources it was read from

7 retrieved but not cited
XRP-Preismarkt bei 7pm EDT: So wird die Abrechnung an CF Benchmarks RTI gemessen ↗
LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Ein neuer Prognosemarkt koppelt den XRP-Preis direkt an den CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index (RTI). Entscheidend ist nicht ein Durchschnitt über Tage, sondern ein einfacher Mittelwert der RTI-Werte in den 60 Sekunden vor dem festgelegten Zeitpunkt. Der Kontrakt zahlt pro richtige
XRP-Preis am 8.9.2026: Wie ein Prognosemarkt den Kurs per CF-Index festlegt ↗
LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Ein Prognosemarkt fragt nach dem XRP-Kurs am 8. September 2026 um 10:00 Uhr EDT. Maßgeblich ist nicht ein einzelner Momentpreis, sondern ein Mittelwert aus CF Benchmarks’ Real-Time Index (RTI) in den 60 Sekunden davor. Der Markt gilt als präzise nach einem Stichtagskriterium;
XRP-Prognosemarkt klärt Preis von Ripple am 11. September 2026 um 14:00 EDT ↗
LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Ein neuer Prognosemarkt fragt nach dem XRP-Preis von Ripple am 11. September 2026 um 14:00 EDT. Entscheidend ist dabei ein regelbasiertes Abwicklungsverfahren auf Basis des CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index, der 60 Sekunden vor dem Stichtag gemittelt wird. Trifft die Preisbedingun
XRP-Preis im Sep-9-2026-Check: So funktioniert ein Krypto-Prognosekontrakt ↗
LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Ein Krypto-Prognosekontrakt richtet sich auf den XRP-Kurs am 9. September 2026 um 23:00 Uhr (EDT). Entscheidend ist nicht ein einzelner Kurswert, sondern ein Durchschnitt der CF-Benchmarks-Real-Time-Indizes in den 60 Sekunden vor dem Fixzeitpunkt. Der Vertrag zahlt bei korrekt
Construction Economics for September 14, 2026 ↗
ENR’s 20-city average cost indexes, wages and materials prices. Historical data and details for ENR’s 20 cities can be found at ENR.com/economics
Review maps 173 LLM mental health benchmarks, finds data limitations ↗
A systematic scoping review titled "Mental Health Benchmarks for Large Language Models" has identified and analyzed 173 benchmarks. The review found that the majority of these benchmarks utilize data from social media or are generated by LLMs themselves. Notably, only a small fraction, specifically

Adjudicated 29d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.