Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 25, 2026? — 91° to 92°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-26T05:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 18d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Sep 25, 2026, is between 91° and 92° Fahrenheit, according to The Weather Company.
Named authority. The Weather Company; Kalshi Exchange (in its sole discretion for material error in the initial non-preliminary publication)
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value must be the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by The Weather Company. Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value; use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. A status of 'Final' on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only and does not guarantee data to be error-free. AccuWeather or Google Weather are not official sources.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The day is still in progress as of the current time and none of the retrieved sources provides the authoritative final maximum temperature for Miami on Sep 25, 2026, from The Weather Company.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the official maximum temperature at Miami (CLIMIA) for Sep 25, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company, to be between 91°F and 92°F. The evidence only shows prediction-market odds, weather-history page placeholders, and unrelated climate articles; no source reports an actual Weather Company final maximum temperature for that date.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A final Weather Company report (or Kalshi's official resolution based on it) showing the Sep 25, 2026 maximum temperature at Miami (CLIMIA) was between 91°F and 92°F, or showing it was outside that range.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
4 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 18d ago · retrieval: pg search, wikipedia. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.