Where will it rain on Oct 10, 2026? — Los Angeles
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-11T08:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 3d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The market resolves to Yes if the total precipitation at CLILAX in Los Angeles on Oct 10, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, as reported by the Weather Company.
Named authority. The Weather Company; https://weather.com/kalshi (CLILAX data)
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value used to determine this market must be reported by the Weather Company, with data for CLILAX found at https://weather.com/kalshi. Trace amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches.
Does not count.
- Trace precipitation (T) at CLILAX on Oct 10, 2026 counts as 0 inches, not as rain.
- Missing daily precipitation values at CLILAX on Oct 10, 2026 count as 0 inches.
- Data from AccuWeather, Google Weather, or other non-Weather Company sources is not official or final.
- Precipitation measured at locations other than CLILAX does not count.
- Precipitation occurring on dates other than Oct 10, 2026 does not count.
Deadline. 2026-10-10
- total precipitation at CLILAX — The official and final daily precipitation value for CLILAX as reported by the Weather Company.
- strictly greater than 0 inches — The required condition for the market to resolve to Yes.
- Trace amounts (T) — Counted as 0 inches.
- missing daily precipitation values — Counted as 0 inches.
The venue's own resolution text, verbatim
If the total precipitation at CLILAX in Los Angeles in Oct 10, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Data for CLILAX can be found at https://weather.com/kalshi. “Trace” amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches.
What the sources establish
None of the retrieved sources address precipitation at CLILAX in Los Angeles on Oct 10, 2026, and none cite the Weather Company's official CLILAX data.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official and final daily precipitation value for CLILAX to be reported by the Weather Company at https://weather.com/kalshi; none of the provided sources report that value or any Weather Company CLILAX measurement for Oct 10, 2026.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A Weather Company report or weather.com/kalshi CLILAX daily precipitation value for Oct 10, 2026 showing either greater than 0 inches (Yes) or 0/T/missing (No) would settle this market.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 2d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.