Where will it rain on Sep 7, 2026? — Houston
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-08T06:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 36d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The total precipitation at station CLIHOU in Houston on September 7, 2026, is strictly greater than 0 inches.
Named authority. The Weather Company
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value is reported by the Weather Company, as published on their website at https://weather.com/kalshi. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company.' Data for CLIHOU can be found at that URL. Trace amounts and missing values are counted as 0.
Does not count.
- Any data not from the Weather Company (e.g., AccuWeather, Google Weather, personal measurements)
- Precipitation that is a trace amount (T) or missing
- Precipitation exactly equal to 0 inches
Deadline. September 7, 2026
- CLIHOU — the weather station identifier for Houston used by the Weather Company at https://weather.com/kalshi
- Trace — amounts denoted as 'T' are counted as 0 inches
- missing daily precipitation values — counted as 0 inches
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
All 16 sources are either about other locations (Elche, Mumbai, Ohio, etc.), general weather news, or unrelated topics. No source provides precipitation data for CLIHOU in Houston from The Weather Company for September 7, 2026.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official and final precipitation value for CLIHOU as reported by The Weather Company on their website at https://weather.com/kalshi. None of the provided sources are from that authority or contain that specific data.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A direct report from The Weather Company's website (https://weather.com/kalshi) showing the total precipitation at CLIHOU on September 7, 2026, or a statement from The Weather Company that the value is 0 inches, issued by the deadline.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 35d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.