Where will it rain on Sep 15, 2026? — Houston
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-16T06:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. we have no price history for this contract, so we cannot say whether the market moved before or after the evidence appeared.
- Price reached near-certainty: not recorded — we hold no price history for this contract, which is itself the reason the question cannot be answered
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
None of the provided sources confirm that it rained in Houston on September 15, 2026. Sources either refer to other dates, other locations, or are unrelated.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract does not specify a required authoritative source or form for evidence, but no evidence of rain in Houston on Sep 15, 2026, has been provided.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A reputable weather report (e.g., from NWS, NOAA, or local news) explicitly stating that rain occurred in Houston on September 15, 2026.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 27d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.