polyrag

Decided, but not yet settled

Kalshi contracts the evidence says are already decided, while the venue has not yet settled them.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24657 Economics 5393 Crypto 5361 Politics 2636 Commodities 2523 Financials 2293 Climate and Weather 1645 Entertainment 466 Science and Technology 219 Mentions 144

all already yes already no include undecided

Top US Netflix Show this week? — Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1
kalshi · closes 2026-09-15 · Entertainment
0.930 7.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 14 → 91 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

The deadline is Sep 15, 2026, and the current date is Sep 11, 2026. The evidence only covers earlier weeks; the specific chart required has not yet been published. Therefore, the condition cannot be confirmed as met or not met.

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First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) Up or Down: — Above $63.03
kalshi · closes 2026-09-01 · Entertainment
0.930 7.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The deadline (Aug 31, 2026) has not yet passed, and no evidence from the named authority (Collectr) provides the required non-preliminary price after that date. The provided sources do not contain the Collectr price for the item.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

When will Drake release a new album? — Before Oct 10, 2026
kalshi · closes 2026-10-10 · Entertainment
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided medium confidence buy YES moved 6 → 93 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Drake released three albums (ICEMAN, Habibti, Maid of Honour) on May 15, 2026, which is before the October 10, 2026 deadline.

The condition requires release after the market's issuance date, but the evidence does not include that date. Without knowing when the market was issued, it is impossible to confirm whether the May 15, 2026 albums satisfy the condition.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

#2 US Netflix Movie this week? — The Whisper Man
kalshi · closes 2026-09-01 · Entertainment
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided medium confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence from Netflix, the named authority, showing the official September 1, 2026 US Top 10 Movies chart. The current time is before the deadline, and only third-party reports mention The Whisper Man ranking, which do not satisfy the resolution criteria.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Coyote vs. Acme · Rotten Tomatoes score — Above 95
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Entertainment
0.960 4.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The deadline (Aug 31, 2026, 10:00 AM ET) is still 26 minutes away, and no official Rotten Tomatoes source confirms a score above 95. The cited 95% is exactly 95 and not from the named authority.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

It Ends · Rotten Tomatoes score — Above 92
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Entertainment
0.960 4.0c residual
undecided medium confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Bass Persuades: First Week Pure Album Sales — Above 40K
kalshi · closes 2026-09-27 · Entertainment
0.970 3.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 5 → 96 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

Miley Cyrus released the album 'Bass Persuades' on September 18, 2026; one source projects a first-week total of 40,000-45,000 units, but no source reports Luminate's pure album sales figure.

The evidence predates the deadline and does not include the required Luminate API report. A projected total-units range is not the same as Luminate's reported pure album sales figure.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count in August 2026 — Above 15.8M
kalshi · closes 2026-09-01 · Entertainment
0.970 3.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No source directly from YouTube Charts (the named authority) confirms that Taylor Swift's single-day global view count exceeded 15.8 million in August 2026. The only claim of a high view count (255M) comes from a prediction market news article, not the official chart.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Coyote vs. Acme · Rotten Tomatoes score — Above 94
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Entertainment
0.970 3.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

unparseable adjudication

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Bass Persuades: First Week Album Equivalent Units — Above 50K
kalshi · closes 2026-09-27 · Entertainment
0.980 2.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 7 → 95 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

The tracking week is still ongoing and the official Luminate figure has not yet been released. No evidence from the named authority exists in the provided sources.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

#2 Global Netflix Movie this week? — Turning Point: Generation 9/11
kalshi · closes 2026-09-08 · Entertainment
0.980 2.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 7 → 94 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence contains the official Netflix chart for the required date; all provided sources are unrelated or unofficial.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Sep 19, 2026? — Boston
kalshi · closes 2026-09-14 · Entertainment
0.980 2.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 7 → 91 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The contract asks whether Boston is #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of Sep 19, 2026, but the supplied evidence does not include any Billboard chart for that week. The chart has likely not been published yet as the current date is Sep 7, 2026, before the end of that chart week.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

It Ends · Rotten Tomatoes score — Above 90
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Entertainment
0.980 2.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No supplied evidence addresses the Tomatometer score for 'It Ends'; the documents concern other films and unrelated topics, so the resolution condition is not established by Rotten Tomatoes or any other source.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Buddy · Rotten Tomatoes score — Above 85
kalshi · closes 2026-08-31 · Entertainment
0.980 2.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No source provides the actual Rotten Tomatoes score for Buddy (2026). The official Rotten Tomatoes page (source 6) is linked but its content is not shown, and no other evidence confirms the score is above 85.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count in August 2026 — Above 15.6M
kalshi · closes 2026-09-01 · Entertainment
0.990 1.0c residual
undecided low confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No direct evidence from YouTube Charts (the named authority) shows Taylor Swift's single-day global view count exceeding 15.6 million in August 2026. The closest source is a news article [12] claiming a peak of 255M, but it is not an official YouTube Charts page and does not meet the contract's authority requirement.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Last pass 1h ago · checked 25, decided 15 of 57 candidates.