polyrag

Decided, but not yet settled

Kalshi contracts the evidence says are already decided, while the venue has not yet settled them.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24566 Economics 5477 Crypto 5320 Politics 2624 Commodities 2479 Financials 2273 Climate and Weather 1640 Entertainment 468 Science and Technology 266 Mentions 143

all already yes already no include undecided

Buriram vs Beijing Guoan
kalshi · closes 2026-10-15 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 12 → 90 not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Buriram United lost 0-1 at home to Beijing Guoan in an AFC

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Galatasaray vs Barcelona: Spread — Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals
kalshi · closes 2026-10-15 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 6 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Barcelona defeated Galatasaray 4-1 on October 13, 2026, in the UEFA Champions League match at RAMS Park in Istanbul.

Multiple sources dated October 13, 2026 report that Barcelona won 4-1, giving a margin of 3 goals, which satisfies the requirement of winning by more than 2.5 goals in the originally scheduled match.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

LV Raiders vs NE Patriots: Spread — NE Patriots wins by over 20.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-10-13 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 6 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

New England Patriots defeated Las Vegas Raiders 45-17 on October 11, 2026, a margin of 28 points.

Multiple sources confirm the final score of Patriots 45, Raiders 17, which is a 28-point margin, exceeding the required 20.5 points.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

LV Raiders vs NE Patriots: Spread — NE Patriots wins by over 16.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-10-13 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 13 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Patriots 45, Raiders 17 on Oct 11, 2026; margin 28 points (>16.5)

Source [10] reports the final score of the game as Patriots 45, Raiders 17, a margin of 28 points, which exceeds the required 16.5 points. No specific authority is mandated by the contract.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Russia vs Nigeria — Tie
kalshi · closes 2026-10-08 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 1 → 90 book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

The Russia vs Nigeria international friendly was played on October 6, 2026 at Nizhny Novgorod Stadium and ended 3-3 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with Nigeria scoring a stoppage-time equalizer.

Multiple independent sports outlets report the October 6, 2026 friendly ended in a 3-3 draw after Nigeria's stoppage-time equalizer, satisfying the condition of a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Atlanta vs New Orleans: Rushing Yards — Bijan Robinson: 140+
kalshi · closes 2026-10-08 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 13 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Bijan Robinson rushed for 145 yards in the Atlanta vs New Orleans game on October 5, 2026.

Multiple reliable sources report that Bijan Robinson rushed for 145 yards in the October 5, 2026 game, exceeding the 140-yard threshold.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Bermuda vs Barbados
kalshi · closes 2026-10-08 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 7 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Barbados defeated Bermuda 2-1 in the Concacaf Nations League match on October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Multiple news sources report that Barbados won 2-1 on October 5, 2026, which matches the contract condition.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Memphis vs Atlanta: Total Points — Over 252.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-10-07 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 14 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Memphis Grizzlies 132, Atlanta Hawks 123 on Oct 5, 2026 (total 255 points)

The box score from DailyMemphian shows the official final score of 132-123, totaling 255 points, which is over 252.5. The game started on Oct 5, within 48 hours of the scheduled start. No authority is named, but the source directly provides the official final result.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Cerro Porteno vs CS 2 de Mayo: Spread — CS 2 de Mayo wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · closes 2026-10-07 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 5 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

CS 2 de Mayo defeated Cerro Porteño 2-0 on October 5, 2026, as reported by the APF (Asociación Paraguaya de Fútbol) on October 6, 2026.

The official APF source confirms a 2-0 victory for CS 2 de Mayo, which is a margin of 2 goals, satisfying the condition of winning by more than 1.5 goals. The evidence is from the named authority and the form is acceptable.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Rwanda vs Kenya: Total Goals — Over 0.5 goals scored
kalshi · closes 2026-10-07 · Sports
0.100 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 88 → 9 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

The Rwanda vs Kenya international friendly match took place on October 5, 2026, and ended in a 0-0 draw, meaning no goals were scored.

Multiple credible sources (sources 3 and 4) explicitly state that the match ended 0-0, so no goals were scored, making 'Over 0.5 goals' impossible.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Ireland vs Austria
kalshi · closes 2026-10-03 · Sports
0.100 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 92 → 9 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Ireland and Austria drew 2-2 on October 1, 2026, as reported by multiple news sources.

Multiple sources confirm the match ended in a 2-2 draw, meaning Ireland did not win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

China vs Palestine: Spread — Palestine wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · closes 2026-10-04 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 11 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

China 0-5 Palestine on 2 October 2026 in an international friendly

Multiple reliable sources (ESPN, Sofascore, etc.) confirm that Palestine defeated China 5-0 on 2 October 2026, a goal difference of 5 which exceeds the required 1.5 goals.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Paris FC vs Arsenal — Tie
kalshi · closes 2026-10-02 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 1 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Paris FC vs Arsenal in the UEFA Women's Champions League, played on 30 September 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw after 90 minutes/stoppage time, with no extra time or penalties reported.

Multiple dated match reports confirm the specified game finished 2-2, which is a tie, and no cancellation or over-48-hour rescheduling occurred.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Boston vs New York Y: Spread — New York Y wins by over 3.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-10-03 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 13 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

New York Yankees defeated Boston Red Sox 9-0 on September 29, 2026, a margin of 9 runs.

Multiple sources report the September 29, 2026 Yankees-Red Sox game ended with New York winning 9-0, which exceeds the required margin of 3.5 runs.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

LV Raiders vs NO Saints: Spread — LV Raiders wins by over 7.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-29 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 2 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Las Vegas Raiders defeated New Orleans Saints 35-27 on September 27, 2026, a margin of 8 points.

The final score reported by multiple sources gives the Raiders a win by 8 points, which exceeds the required 7.5-point margin.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Rice vs Fresno St.: Spread — Fresno St. wins by over 12.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-29 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 8 → 90 book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

Fresno State defeated Rice 38-24 on September 26/27, 2026, a margin of 14 points.

The reported final score is Fresno State 38, Rice 24, a 14-point Fresno State win, which exceeds the required 12.5-point spread. The game was played as scheduled on Saturday night, so the 48-hour start condition is satisfied.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Ole Miss vs Florida: Spread — Florida wins by over 16.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-28 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 10 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Florida defeated Ole Miss 52-28 on September 26, 2026, a margin of 24 points, which exceeds 16.5.

Multiple independent sources confirm that the game was played as scheduled on September 26, 2026, and that Florida won 52-28, a margin of 24 points, which is greater than 16.5. No postponement or alternative result is indicated.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Colorado vs Baylor: Spread — Baylor wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-28 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 8 → 90 book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

Baylor defeated Colorado 23-13 on September 26, 2026, giving Baylor a win margin of 10 points, which is more than 9.5.

Multiple independent news sources report the final score as Baylor 23, Colorado 13, confirming Baylor won by more than 9.5 points. The game started on its scheduled date, so no void condition applies.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

ATL Falcons vs GB Packers: Spread — ATL Falcons wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-27 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 5 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Falcons defeated Packers 35-14 on Sep 24, 2026, a margin of 21 points.

Multiple news sources report the final score as 35-14, confirming the Falcons won by 21 points, which exceeds the required 6.5 points.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Tampa Bay vs New York Y: Game 1 Total Runs — Over 3.5 runs scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-25 · Sports
0.100 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 85 → 9 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Game 1 of the doubleheader on September 22, 2026, ended with New York Yankees 2, Tampa Bay Rays 0, total runs = 2.

Multiple sources confirm the final score of Game 1 was 2-0, so total runs (2) do not exceed 3.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Indianapolis vs Kansas City: Passing Yards — Patrick Mahomes: 325+
kalshi · closes 2026-09-23 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 5 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Patrick Mahomes recorded 382 passing yards in the Kansas City Chiefs' 33-30 overtime win over the Indianapolis Colts on September 20, 2026.

Source [2] directly states Mahomes put up 382 passing yards in the game, which exceeds the 325 threshold; multiple other sources confirm the game occurred on the scheduled date and Mahomes played.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Goztepe Izmir vs Rizespor
kalshi · closes 2026-09-22 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 5 → 90 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

The match ended in a 2-2 draw on September 20, 2026, based on multiple sources reporting the final score.

Multiple independent sources report the final score as 2-2, which means Rizespor did not win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The condition requires a Rizespor win, but the match was a draw.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Sport Recife vs Juventude RS
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 12 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Sport Recife defeated Juventude RS 2-1 on September 19, 2026, in a Brasileiro Serie B match.

Multiple independent news sources from the match date and the following day report that Sport Recife won 2-1 against Juventude RS on September 19, 2026, which satisfies the condition of a win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 14 → 90 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

Cincinnati defeated Miami (OH) 35-31 on September 19, 2026, as reported by multiple news outlets.

Multiple sources report that Cincinnati won the game 35-31, so Miami (OH) did not win the originally scheduled game. The evidence is consistent and from game-day reports, establishing the official final result.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

UTEP vs Michigan: Spread — Michigan wins by over 27.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 11 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Michigan defeated UTEP 52-17 on September 19, 2026, a margin of 35 points.

Multiple sources report the final score as Michigan 52, UTEP 17, giving a margin of 35 points, which exceeds 27.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Florida St. vs Alabama: Total Points — Over 69.5 points scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 6 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The game was played on September 19, 2026, and the final score was Alabama 50, Florida State 36, for a total of 86 points.

Multiple sources confirm the final score of 50-36 (total 86 points), which exceeds 69.5, and the game started on its scheduled date, satisfying all conditions.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Kansas City vs Pittsburgh: Spread — Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 11 → 90 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Kansas City Royals 6-5 on September 18, 2026

The box score shows Pittsburgh won by 1 run, which is not more than 1.5 runs.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Boston vs Texas
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.100 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 89 → 9 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Boston beat Texas 4-3 on September 17, 2026, as reported by AP

The contract requires Texas to win the game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026. Evidence shows Boston won 4-3, so the condition cannot be satisfied.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Detroit vs Chicago WS: Spread — Detroit wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 2 → 90 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

Chicago White Sox defeated Detroit Tigers 3-1 in the game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026.

Multiple sources confirm the final score was Chicago 3, Detroit 1, meaning Detroit lost and therefore did not win by more than 1.5 runs.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional — Tie
kalshi · closes 2026-09-19 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 12 → 90 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

Atletico Nacional defeated Internacional de Bogota 3-2 on 16 September 2026, as reported by multiple sources.

Source [3] directly states the result: Nacional won 3-2. This is not a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

already yes high confidence buy YES moved 3 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Saint Louis won 3-0 against Colorado in the US Open Cup semifinal on September 16, 2026, in regulation time.

Multiple news sources report that Saint Louis defeated Colorado 3-0 in the US Open Cup semifinal on September 16, 2026. The score indicates a win by more than 1.5 goals in regulation time, as no extra time is mentioned.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

San Diego vs Colorado: Spread — Colorado wins by over 3.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-19 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 2 → 90 book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

Colorado Rockies defeated San Diego Padres 9-3 on September 15, 2026, in Denver, a margin of 6 runs, which exceeds 3.5 runs.

A contemporaneous report explicitly states the Rockies defeated the Padres 9-3 on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, in Denver, matching the scheduled game in question. Colorado's margin of 6 runs is greater than 3.5 runs, so the condition is already met.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Burgos vs Ceuta: Spread — Burgos wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · closes 2026-09-13 · Sports
0.910 9.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 9 → 90 book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

Burgos defeated Ceuta 3-1 on September 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (a 2-goal margin, which is more than 1.5 goals).

Multiple independent sources report the final score as Burgos 3–1 Ceuta, confirming a 2-goal margin that satisfies 'more than 1.5 goals' within regulation time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Florida A&M vs Miami (FL): Spread — Miami (FL) wins by over 75.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-13 · Sports
0.100 9.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 97 → 9 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The game occurred on September 10, 2026, with final score Miami 77, Florida A&M 7 (margin of 70 points).

Multiple sources confirm the final score was Miami 77, Florida A&M 7, a margin of 70 points, which is not more than 75.5 points required.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

BUF Bills vs LA Rams — Los Angeles R
kalshi · closes 2026-10-15 · Sports
0.090 8.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 93 → 8 wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Bills defeated Rams 37-34 in overtime on Oct 12, 2026

Multiple credible news sources report that the Bills beat the Rams 37-34 in overtime on Oct 12, 2026, so the Rams did not win.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Inter vs Club Brugge
kalshi · closes 2026-10-15 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 6 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Club Brugge defeated Inter 3-4 in the UEFA Champions League match at San Siro on October 13, 2026, with goals recorded through the 90+3 minute, indicating the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Multiple independent sources dated October 13, 2026 report the match as Inter 3-4 Club Brugge, which means Club Brugge won the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time as required.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Cleveland vs Tampa Bay: Spread — Cleveland wins by over 2.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-10-16 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 4 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Cleveland Guardians defeated Tampa Bay Rays 7-3 in ALCS Game 1 on October 12, 2026, a margin of 4 runs.

Multiple sources report that Cleveland beat Tampa Bay 7-3 in the game scheduled for October 12, 2026. A 7-3 win is a margin of 4 runs, which is more than 2.5 runs and satisfies the spread condition.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

CHI Bears vs GB Packers: Spread — Green Bay wins by over 23.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-10-13 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 6 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Green Bay Packers defeated Chicago Bears 31-7 on October 11, 2026, a margin of 24 points.

The final score was Green Bay 31, Chicago 7, so Green Bay won by exactly 24 points, which is greater than 23.5. The game occurred on the scheduled date of October 11, 2026.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Fluminense vs Coritiba: Spread — Fluminense wins by more than 2.5 goals
kalshi · closes 2026-10-11 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 13 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Fluminense defeated Coritiba 4-0 on October 8, 2026, a margin of 4 goals, which is more than 2.5 goals.

Source [1] reports that Fluminense won 4-0 on the scheduled date, which satisfies the condition of winning by more than 2.5 goals.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Munster vs Rot-Weiss Essen — Tie
kalshi · closes 2026-10-11 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 10 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The game between Preußen Münster and Rot-Weiss Essen on October 9, 2026 ended in a 3:3 draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by multiple news sources on the same day.

Multiple credible sources from October 9, 2026 confirm that the game ended in a 3:3 tie, which meets the resolution criteria of a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Almeria vs Burgos
kalshi · closes 2026-10-05 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 12 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Almeria defeated Burgos 2-1 in their La Liga 2 / LaLiga Hypermotion match on October 3, 2026, with Almeria scoring the winning goals in the 77th and 84th minutes; multiple Spanish sports outlets reported the 2-1 final score.

The contract asks simply whether Almeria won the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; the evidence directly and consistently shows Almeria beat Burgos 2-1 on the scheduled date, with no indication of extra time or penalties.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Bonaire vs Grenada
kalshi · closes 2026-10-05 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 5 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Grenada defeated Bonaire 2-3 on October 2, 2026 in a Concacaf Nations League match, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Multiple reliable sources (ESPN, FOX Sports, Concacaf official site, etc.) confirm that Grenada won 3-2 against Bonaire on October 2, 2026 in the Concacaf Nations League, which matches the resolution condition exactly.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Eastleigh vs Southend — Tie
kalshi · closes 2026-10-02 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 12 → 91 book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

Eastleigh and Southend played on 2026-09-30 and the match ended 1-1, a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no extra time or penalties reported.

Multiple sources report that Eastleigh drew 1-1 with Southend United in the scheduled National League match, which satisfies the condition of a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Paris FC vs Arsenal
kalshi · closes 2026-10-02 · Sports
0.090 8.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 98 → 8 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The match Paris FC vs Arsenal on 30 September 2026 ended in a 2-2 draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Multiple credible news sources report that the match ended in a 2-2 draw, not an Arsenal win, so the condition for a Yes resolution is not met.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Necaxa vs America: Spread — America wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · closes 2026-09-30 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 7 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Club América defeated Necaxa 4-2 in the Liga MX match originally scheduled for September 27, 2026, according to a match report published September 28, 2026.

The evidence directly reports a 4-2 América victory, a margin of 2 goals, which satisfies the condition of winning by more than 1.5 goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Rice vs Fresno St.: Spread — Fresno St. wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-29 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 6 → 90 book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

Fresno State defeated Rice 38-24 on September 26, 2026, a margin of 14 points.

Multiple credible news sources report that Fresno State won 38-24 on Sep 26, 2026; a 14-point margin exceeds the 13.5-point spread required.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Oregon vs USC: Total Points — Over 64.5 points scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-28 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 12 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Oregon defeated USC 41-27 on September 26, 2026, for a combined total of 68 points.

Multiple dated reports from September 26-27, 2026 consistently state the final score was Oregon 41, USC 27, totaling 68 points, which exceeds 64.5. The contract does not name a specific official source, so these consistent final-score reports establish the result.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Northwestern vs Indiana: Spread — Indiana wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-28 · Sports
0.100 8.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 87 → 8 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Indiana 29, Northwestern 23 on September 25, 2026

Multiple credible sources report the final score as Indiana 29, Northwestern 23, which is a 6-point margin, not exceeding 9.5 points.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Toronto vs Baltimore: Game 2 Total Runs — Over 5.5 runs scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-26 · Sports
0.090 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy NO moved 89 → 8 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles game 2 of the doubleheader on September 23, 2026 ended with a score of Baltimore 4, Toronto 2, totaling 6 runs.

Multiple reliable sources confirm that the second game of the doubleheader ended 4-2, meaning 6 total runs, which exceeds the 5.5 threshold.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Milwaukee vs Philadelphia: Strikeouts — Zack Wheeler: 10+
kalshi · closes 2026-09-25 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 12 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Zack Wheeler struck out 11 batters as a starting pitcher in the Milwaukee vs Philadelphia game on September 22, 2026.

Multiple credible news sources report that Zack Wheeler recorded 11 strikeouts in the September 22, 2026 game against the Milwaukee Brewers, satisfying the condition of 10+ strikeouts.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Jacksonville vs Denver: Spread — Denver wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-22 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 4 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Denver Broncos defeated Jacksonville Jaguars 20-13 on September 20, 2026, a margin of 7 points, which exceeds 6.5 points.

Multiple reliable sources (PFF, AP via Durango Herald, ABC News) report the final score as Denver 20, Jacksonville 13, a 7-point win that satisfies the condition of Denver winning by more than 6.5 points. No special evidence form or authority is required by the contract.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Parma Calcio vs Genoa
kalshi · closes 2026-09-22 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 14 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Parma Calcio defeated Genoa 2-1 on 20 September 2026 in a Serie A match, with the result occurring after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties).

Multiple independent news sources (e.g., Quotidiano del Sud, NapoliPiù) report that Parma beat Genoa 2-1 on the scheduled date. No evidence of cancellation, rescheduling, or an alternative result exists, so the condition 'Parma Calcio wins' is satisfied.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Colorado vs Seattle — Tie
kalshi · closes 2026-09-22 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 13 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Colorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle Sounders on September 19, 2026 (MLS regular season match).

Source [7] directly reports a 3-3 tie score for the Colorado vs Seattle MLS game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, which constitutes a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No authorities are specified, so any credible source suffices, and no form restrictions apply.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Kansas City vs Philadelphia
kalshi · closes 2026-09-22 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 1 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Philadelphia Union defeated Sporting Kansas City 4-3 on September 19, 2026, in the MLS regular-season match; the final score after regulation was 4-3.

Multiple dated sources confirm Philadelphia won the September 19, 2026 MLS match 4-3, which satisfies the condition of a Philadelphia win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no indication of extra time or penalties.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Colorado vs Northwestern: Spread — Northwestern wins by over 20.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 10 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Northwestern defeated Colorado 41-7 on September 19, 2026, a margin of 34 points.

The final score is directly reported as Northwestern 41, Colorado 7, giving Northwestern a 34-point margin, which is greater than 20.5 points. The game was played on September 19, 2026, within the required window.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Stoke vs Sheffield United
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 7 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Stoke City beat Sheffield United 2-1 on 19 September 2026

Multiple news sources report that Stoke City defeated Sheffield United 2-1 on the scheduled date, satisfying the condition of Stoke winning after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Central Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia — Tie
kalshi · closes 2026-09-20 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes medium confidence buy YES moved 3 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Central Córdoba and Defensa y Justicia played on September 18, 2026, and the match ended in a draw; Central Córdoba equalized in stoppage time after Defensa y Justicia had led by two goals.

Multiple dated match reports state that Central Córdoba rescued a draw/empate against Defensa y Justicia on September 18, 2026, which satisfies the condition of a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati
kalshi · closes 2026-09-21 · Sports
0.090 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy NO moved 85 → 8 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Cincinnati defeated Miami (OH) 35-31 on September 19, 2026

Multiple news sources report Cincinnati won 35-31 on September 19, 2026, which matches the condition. No evidence contradicts or suggests the game did not start within 48 hours.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Detroit vs Toronto: Spread — Toronto wins by over 2.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-19 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 13 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Toronto Blue Jays defeated Detroit Tigers 5-1 on September 16, 2026, a win by 4 runs, which exceeds 2.5 runs.

Multiple sources (mininggazette.com and bayshorebroadcasting.ca) report that Toronto won 5-1 on the scheduled date, satisfying the condition of a win by more than 2.5 runs.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Philadelphia vs Washington: Total Runs — Over 3.5 runs scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-19 · Sports
0.090 8.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 97 → 8 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The Philadelphia Phillies defeated the Washington Nationals 3-0 on September 16, 2026, as reported by multiple sources.

Multiple sources confirm the final score was 3-0, so the total runs (3) do not exceed 3.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Once Caldas vs Tolima: Total Goals — Over 1.5 goals scored
kalshi · closes 2026-09-18 · Sports
0.100 8.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 90 → 8 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Once Caldas defeated Tolima 1-0 on September 16, 2026 in regulation time.

Multiple news sources report the final score as 1-0, meaning only 1 goal was scored, which is not over 1.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Detroit vs Toronto: Spread — Detroit wins by over 7.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-18 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 13 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Detroit won 10-1 over Toronto in the game on September 15, 2026, a margin of 9 runs which exceeds 7.5.

Multiple independent sources (e.g., scores reported on Sept. 16) confirm Detroit 10, Toronto 1 on the scheduled date, a margin >7.5 runs.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Baltimore vs New York M: Spread — Baltimore wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-18 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 4 → 91 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable evidence led the market

The Orioles defeated the Mets 2–1 on September 15, 2026, a margin of 1 run.

Multiple credible sources (photo gallery caption and sports scoreboard) report a final score of Baltimore 2, New York 1, meaning Baltimore's margin of victory is 1 run, which is not greater than 1.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Denver vs Kansas City: Spread — Kansas City wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-17 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 7 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Kansas City Chiefs defeated Denver Broncos 31-10 on September 14, 2026, a margin of 21 points

Multiple authoritative sports news sources confirm the final score was Kansas City 31, Denver 10, a 21-point margin which exceeds the 14.5-point threshold.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Alabama vs Kentucky: Spread — Alabama wins by over 16.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-09-14 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 7 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Alabama defeated Kentucky 45-17 on September 12, 2026 in Lexington; margin of 28 points exceeds 16.5.

Multiple independent sources report the final score as Alabama 45, Kentucky 17, a 28-point margin, which is greater than 16.5. The game was played on its scheduled date, so the 48-hour postponement condition does not apply.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Los Angeles A vs Washington: Spread — Washington wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-14 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already no high confidence buy YES moved 6 → 90 evidence disagrees with the market book pulled — not buyable window closed

Washington Nationals defeated Los Angeles Angels 4-3 on Sept 11, 2026, a margin of 1 run.

The only relevant game result shows Washington won by exactly 1 run (4-3), which is not more than 1.5 runs. The condition therefore cannot be met.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Colorado vs New York Y: Spread — New York Y wins by over 5.5 runs
kalshi · closes 2026-09-13 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 12 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window unknown

New York Yankees defeated Colorado Rockies 10-3 on Thursday, September 10, 2026, a margin of 7 runs, which is more than 5.5 runs.

Heavy reports that on Thursday the Yankees swept the Rockies with a 10-3 win, and the originally scheduled game was Thursday, September 10, 2026. A 7-run margin exceeds the required 5.5-run threshold.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Edmonton Elks vs Calgary Stampeders
kalshi · closes 2026-09-14 · Sports
0.920 8.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 10 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Edmonton Elks vs Calgary Stampeders game occurred on Labour Day 2026 (September 7), with Edmonton winning 38-28.

Multiple reliable news sources confirm that the Edmonton Elks and Calgary Stampeders played a CFL game on Labour Day 2026, with a clear result reported. No specific authority or special form is required by the contract condition.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Sabah Masazir vs Slavia Prague: Spread — Sabah Masazir wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · closes 2026-10-15 · Sports
0.930 7.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 4 → 90 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Sabah Masazir defeated Slavia Prague 2-0 on October 13, 2026, in a Champions League group stage match.

Multiple sources report a 2-0 win for Sabah Masazir over Slavia Prague on October 13, 2026, which is a margin of 2 goals, satisfying the condition of winning by more than 1.5 goals after regulation time.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

America Cali vs Ind. Medellin
kalshi · closes 2026-10-14 · Sports
0.930 7.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 6 → 92 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Ind. Medellin won 2-1 on Oct 11, 2026

Multiple credible sources report that Ind. Medellin defeated America Cali 2-1 on Oct 11, 2026, with no indication of extra time or penalties, and the match was played as scheduled.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Santos vs Flamengo — Tie
kalshi · closes 2026-10-10 · Sports
0.930 7.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 4 → 92 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Santos and Flamengo drew 2-2 on October 8, 2026, in the Brasileirão Série A Round 29 match at Vila Belmiro; Neymar scored two late penalties for Santos.

Multiple independent reports dated October 9, 2026 confirm the Santos vs Flamengo match ended 2-2, which is a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; no extra time or penalty shootout is indicated.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Atlanta vs San Antonio
kalshi · closes 2026-10-11 · Sports
0.080 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 91 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The Atlanta Hawks defeated the San Antonio Spurs 123-116 in a preseason game on October 8, 2026.

Multiple credible sources confirm that the game was played on October 8, 2026, and that the Atlanta Hawks won, meaning San Antonio did not win. The condition is therefore already impossible to satisfy.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

LA Chargers vs SEA Seahawks: Spread — SEA Seahawks wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-10-06 · Sports
0.080 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 90 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Seattle Seahawks defeated Los Angeles Chargers 30-23 on October 4, 2026, a margin of 7 points.

The condition requires Seattle to win by more than 9.5 points, but the actual margin was 7 points, so the condition is already impossible to satisfy.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

LA Rams vs PHI Eagles: Spread — LA Rams wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · closes 2026-10-06 · Sports
0.930 7.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 2 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

The Los Angeles Rams defeated the Philadelphia Eagles 24-20 on October 4, 2026, a margin of 4 points.

The Rams' margin of victory was 24-20 = 4 points, which is greater than 3.5, so the spread condition is satisfied. The game occurred on the scheduled date and multiple independent sources report the same final score.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara
kalshi · closes 2026-10-06 · Sports
0.930 7.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 5 → 92 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Novara defeated Dolomiti Bellunesi 2-1 in regulation time on October 4, 2026

Multiple reliable sports sources (Alessandria Oggi, Corriere di Novara, Tuttoc, La Voce Novara, Bellunopress) report that Novara won 2-1 after regulation time, consistent with the resolution criteria.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Texas St. vs San Diego St.
kalshi · closes 2026-10-06 · Sports
0.930 7.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 3 → 92 book pulled — not buyable window closed

San Diego State defeated Texas State 31-29 on October 3, 2026, as reported by multiple news outlets.

Multiple credible news sources report that San Diego State beat Texas State 31-29 on October 3, 2026, and the game began on its scheduled date, well within the 48-hour window.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Texas St. vs San Diego St.
kalshi · closes 2026-10-06 · Sports
0.080 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 95 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window closed

San Diego State defeated Texas State 31-29 on October 3, 2026, as reported by multiple news sources.

The game was played on October 3, 2026, within 48 hours of its scheduled start, and the official final result shows San Diego State won 31-29, so Texas State did not win.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Seattle vs Edmonton: Spread — Edmonton wins by over 1.5 goals
kalshi · closes 2026-10-05 · Sports
0.930 7.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 9 → 91 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Edmonton Oilers defeated Seattle Kraken 3-1 on October 3, 2026, a margin of 2 goals.

Multiple sources confirm Edmonton won 3-1, a margin of 2 goals (over 1.5), and the game was played as scheduled within the deadline.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Germany vs Serbia: Correct Score — Germany wins 2-0
kalshi · closes 2026-10-04 · Sports
0.930 7.0c residual
already yes high confidence buy YES moved 9 → 92 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Germany defeated Serbia 2-0 in a UEFA Nations League match on October 1, 2026, at Allianz Arena in Munich.

Multiple credible news sources report that Germany beat Serbia 2-0 in the UEFA Nations League match on October 1, 2026, which matches the resolution condition exactly.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Bulgaria vs Estonia: Total Goals — Over 0.5 goals scored
kalshi · closes 2026-10-01 · Sports
0.080 7.0c residual
already no high confidence buy NO moved 88 → 7 book pulled — not buyable window closed

Bulgaria vs Estonia match ended 0-0 on 2026-09-29

Source [1] directly reports the match ended 0-0, meaning total goals = 0, which is not over 0.5.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Last pass 37m ago · checked 25, decided 15 of 57 candidates.