polyrag

Decided, but not yet settled

Kalshi contracts the evidence says are already decided, while the venue has not yet settled them.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24657 Economics 5393 Crypto 5361 Politics 2636 Commodities 2523 Financials 2293 Climate and Weather 1645 Entertainment 466 Science and Technology 219 Mentions 144

all already yes already no include undecided

Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — 30,470 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-10-01 · Financials
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 14 → 91 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No source provides the official closing value of the Nasdaq 100 on October 1, 2026 from the named authority. The market close has not yet occurred (current time is 3:41 PM EDT) and no official data has been released.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

S&P price on Sep 3, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — 7,740 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Financials
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence provides the official S&P 500 closing value for September 3, 2026 from the named authorities (S&P Dow Jones Indices or Kalshi). The snippets show forecasts or previous day's close, but not the specific end-of-day value for the date in question.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

S&P price on Sep 3, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — 7,715 or above
kalshi · closes 2026-09-03 · Financials
0.950 5.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence provided shows the official S&P 500 closing value on September 3, 2026, from the designated authority (S&P Dow Jones Indices). The deadline has not yet passed, so the condition cannot be resolved.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Average Get-In Price of the 2026 US Open Finals — Above $450
kalshi · closes 2026-09-08 · Financials
0.960 4.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES moved 57 → 95 evidence disagrees with the market wrong form of evidence not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

Forbes reported on Aug 28, 2026 that men's and women's finals seats were listed at an average of $534 according to TicketData.com, but this is not the deadline value and is not a TicketData publication.

The deadline has not yet been reached, and no source shows TicketData's official published Average Get-In Price for the 2026 US Open Finals at 8:00PM ET on September 7, 2026. A Forbes article citing TicketData for a different date does not satisfy the contract's authority and timing requirements.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in August — Above $2.75
kalshi · closes 2026-09-01 · Financials
0.970 3.0c residual
undecided high confidence buy YES evidence disagrees with the market not the named source book pulled — not buyable window unknown

No evidence from the named authority Ornn regarding the average hourly price of NVIDIA H100 compute for August 2026. All provided sources are unrelated to Ornn's index.

No source was cited for this reading — treat it as unverified.

Full evidence and the contract's rules →

Last pass 1h ago · checked 25, decided 15 of 57 candidates.