polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1356 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31351 Sports 22331 Economics 5491 Crypto 5456 Commodities 3081 Financials 2940 Politics 2616 Climate and Weather 1673 Entertainment 473 Science and Technology 236 Mentions 191

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Bank of Japan rate decision in December — Cut more than 25bps Economics 1.5% kals 1 $1
Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting? — Above 5.25% Economics — kals 8 $1
US headline CPI inflation in December 2033 — Above 4.5% Economics — kals 1 $1
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026 — Above 50% Economics 5.5% kals 1 $1
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026 — Above 50% Economics 10% kals 1 $1
US nominal GDP growth in 2028 — Above 3.5% Economics 59% kals 1 $1
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026? — Above 0.6% Economics — kals 1 $1
US real GDP growth in 2029? — 3.6% to 4.0% Economics 6.5% kals 1 $1
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026? — Above 0.5% Economics — kals 1 $1
Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 — Exactly 1.50% Economics — kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2035 — Above 6.0% Economics 28% kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2034 — Above 6.0% Economics 29% kals 1 $0
US hourly earnings growth in October — Above 0.2% Economics — kals 1 $0
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 3.0% Economics — kals 1 $0
Italy’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -4.0% of GDP Economics 95% kals 1 $0
US shelter CPI in September — Above 431.2 Economics — kals 1 $0
China’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -9.0% of GDP Economics 92% kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2036 — Above 4.0% Economics 52% kals 1 $0
US shelter CPI in September — Above 431.1 Economics — kals 1 $0
US headline CPI inflation in December 2034 — Above 2.5% Economics — kals 1 $0
2027 Honda Accord starting MSRP — Above $28,000 Economics 97% kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2027 — Above 6.0% Economics 20% kals 1 $0
CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? — Exactly 2.0% Economics — kals 1 $0
US headline CPI inflation in December 2028 — Above 6.0% Economics — kals 1 $0
US headline CPI inflation in December 2032 — Above 2.0% Economics — kals 1 $0
China’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -8.5% of GDP Economics 87% kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2034 — Above 4.5% Economics 47% kals 1 $0
Bank of Korea rate decision in October — Hike more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2028 — Above 0.5% Economics 94% kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2034 — Above 1.0% Economics 87% kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2034 — Above 2.0% Economics 76% kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2027 — Above 1.0% Economics 93% kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2030 — Above 0.5% Economics 93% kals 1 $0
Italy’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -2.5% of GDP Economics 22% kals 1 $0
South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 — Above 0.4% Economics 40% kals 1 $0
Core goods CPI MoM in September — Above 0.1% Economics — kals 1 $0
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? — Exactly 3.6% Economics — kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2028 — Above 1.0% Economics 91% kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2028 — Above 1.5% Economics 88% kals 1 $0
South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026 — Above 0.6% Economics 20% kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2036 — Above 1.0% Economics 85% kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2035 — Above 2.0% Economics 75% kals 1 $0
France’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -4.0% of GDP Economics 4.0% kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2035 — Above 1.5% Economics 81% kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2034 — Above 1.5% Economics 82% kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2029 — Above 1.0% Economics 90% kals 1 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2027 — Above 2.0% Economics 82% kals 1 $0
Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting? — Above 6.00% Economics — kals 8 $0
US nominal GDP growth in 2035 — Above 1.0% Economics 86% kals 1 $0
Italy’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -4.5% of GDP Economics 96% kals 1 $0

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