| claim | market | venues | horizons |
traded |
|---|
| When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jul 1, 2027
Politics |
38% |
kals |
17 |
$1.2M |
| Blue wave in 2026? — Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seat
Politics |
82% |
kals |
1 |
$1.1M |
| Will Trump be impeached? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
66% |
kals poly |
11 |
$998.3k |
| How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — $0 / No Acquisition
Politics |
91% |
kals |
1 |
$789.8k |
| Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? — Before 2027
Politics |
20% |
kals |
2 |
$597.6k |
| Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? — Before 2027
Politics |
14% |
kals |
2 |
$561.9k |
| Will President Trump be impeached during his term? — Before Jan 20, 2029
Politics |
66% |
kals |
1 |
$467.0k |
| US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
12% |
kals |
7 |
$339.7k |
| Will the SAVE Act become law? — Before Jan 4, 2027
Politics |
2.4% |
kals |
1 |
$332.9k |
| Blue tsunami in 2026? — Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more s
Politics |
47% |
kals |
1 |
$323.2k |
| Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
5.8% |
kals |
7 |
$257.0k |
| Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Benjamin Netanyahu
Politics |
40% |
kals |
1 |
$227.9k |
| Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) — Before 2027
Politics |
3.0% |
kals |
1 |
$184.1k |
| Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
44% |
kals |
4 |
$161.6k |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Politics |
3.5% |
kals poly |
2 |
$141.8k |
| Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) — Before January 20, 2029
Politics |
24% |
kals |
1 |
$132.6k |
| Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) — Before 2028
Politics |
14% |
kals |
1 |
$129.0k |
| Will Trump be impeached and removed from office? — Before his term ends
Politics |
18% |
kals |
1 |
$126.9k |
| Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Anthony Fauci
Politics |
22% |
kals |
1 |
$113.4k |
| Will Trump resign before 2027?
Politics |
18% |
kals poly |
2 |
$103.9k |
| Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed? — Before 2027
Politics |
26% |
kals |
4 |
$98.5k |
| Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? — Before election day 2026
Politics |
2.4% |
kals |
1 |
$96.8k |
| Will the cap on gambling loss deduction be repealed? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
18% |
kals |
5 |
$77.8k |
| Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Ilhan Omar
Politics |
39% |
kals |
1 |
$76.6k |
| Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 15
Politics |
95% |
kals |
1 |
$75.6k |
| Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Miguel Díaz-Canel
Politics |
8.9% |
kals |
1 |
$71.8k |
| Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? — Before 2027
Politics |
5.8% |
kals |
1 |
$60.7k |
| Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 10
Politics |
98% |
kals |
1 |
$57.5k |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Politics |
3.5% |
kals |
1 |
$57.3k |
| When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
12% |
kals |
2 |
$57.1k |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
Politics |
1.9% |
kals poly |
2 |
$54.9k |
| Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks? — Before 2027
Politics |
3.3% |
kals |
1 |
$52.3k |
| 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Republicans win
Politics |
5.3% |
kals |
1 |
$46.5k |
| Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026? — Before 2027
Politics |
4.8% |
kals |
1 |
$44.2k |
| Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
20% |
kals |
3 |
$43.8k |
| 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 8 to 10%
Politics |
26% |
kals |
1 |
$43.4k |
| Will the US acquire any new territory? — Before Jan 2028
Politics |
22% |
kals |
3 |
$42.6k |
| Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 20
Politics |
76% |
kals |
1 |
$41.9k |
| Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 4
Politics |
86% |
kals |
1 |
$41.6k |
| Will Trump declare an election emergency? — Before Nov 4, 2026
Politics |
14% |
kals |
2 |
$38.6k |
| Will the SAVE America Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
2.9% |
kals |
5 |
$38.4k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
Politics |
18% |
kals poly |
11 |
$36.9k |
| Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
3.5% |
kals |
1 |
$35.7k |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?
Politics |
4.8% |
kals poly |
2 |
$35.4k |
| Will a cabinet member be impeached? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
65% |
kals |
6 |
$35.1k |
| Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? — Samuel Alito
Politics |
64% |
kals |
1 |
$35.1k |
| 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 6 to 8%
Politics |
22% |
kals |
1 |
$34.3k |
| 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 10 to 12%
Politics |
20% |
kals |
1 |
$33.9k |
| Who will Trump pardon? — Barron Trump
Politics |
48% |
kals |
1 |
$32.9k |
| Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?
Politics |
5.5% |
kals poly |
2 |
$32.5k |