polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1357 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24633 Economics 5477 Crypto 5292 Politics 2624 Commodities 2434 Financials 2244 Climate and Weather 1631 Entertainment 469 Science and Technology 267 Mentions 143

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Fed maintains rate Economics 82% kals 1 $3.4M
Fed decision in Oct 2026? — Hike 25bps Economics 18% kals 1 $560.5k
CPI in September — Above 0.5% Economics 66% kals 1 $415.2k
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.6% Economics 50% kals 1 $280.0k
CPI in September — Above 0.4% Economics 90% kals 1 $261.1k
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.5% Economics 88% kals 1 $197.8k
Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Hike 25bps Economics 74% kals 1 $174.7k
CPI core in September — Above 0.1% Economics 78% kals 1 $148.6k
CPI in September — Above 0.2% Economics 36% kals 1 $130.6k
Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.4% Economics 46% kals 1 $104.8k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.75% Economics 98% kals 2 $89.6k
CPI in September — Above 0.3% Economics 98% kals 1 $86.0k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting? — Above 4.00% Economics 84% kals 8 $82.5k
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 4.00% Economics 21% kals 2 $79.8k
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.2% Economics 88% kals 1 $77.5k
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026? — Maintains rate Economics 84% kals 1 $75.4k
CPI in October — Above 0.1% Economics 94% kals 1 $71.3k
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.0% Economics — kals 1 $64.2k
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 3.75 Economics 98% kals 1 $63.9k
Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Fed maintains rate Economics 23% kals 1 $63.3k
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.4% Economics 98% kals 1 $60.6k
Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting? — Above 4.25% Economics 70% kals 8 $59.2k
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 2.0% Economics 92% kals 2 $58.4k
CPI in September — Above 0.6% Economics 18% kals 1 $52.3k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.50% Economics — kals 2 $49.8k
Fed decision in Jul 2027? — Fed maintains rate Economics 76% kals 1 $49.6k
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 4.00 Economics 88% kals 1 $45.7k
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026 — Above 95.0 TWh Economics 90% kals 1 $45.6k
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.8% Economics 50% kals 1 $43.4k
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.1% Economics — kals 1 $42.0k
Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.1% Economics — kals 1 $41.0k
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $4.40 Economics — kals 1 $36.4k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 3.25% Economics 90% kals 8 $33.8k
United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -5.5% of GDP Economics 91% kals 1 $33.2k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 3.50% Economics 94% kals 8 $32.5k
Fed decision in Jan 2027? — Fed maintains rate Economics 66% kals 1 $31.1k
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026 — Above 92.5 TWh Economics 94% kals 1 $30.3k
CPI core in October — Above 0.2% Economics 44% kals 1 $28.3k
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.8% Economics 44% kals 1 $25.4k
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 4.25 Economics 58% kals 1 $25.0k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 2.75% Economics — kals 2 $24.5k
U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter? Economics 50% kals 1 $24.1k
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026 — Above 97.5 TWh Economics 50% kals 1 $23.8k
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.9% Economics 34% kals 1 $23.3k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 3.00% Economics 92% kals 8 $22.7k
Fed decision in Sep 2027? — Fed maintains rate Economics 78% kals 1 $22.5k
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.0% Economics 98% kals 1 $20.7k
Fed decision in Jan 2027? — Hike 25bps Economics 27% kals 1 $20.1k
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 3.25 Economics — kals 1 $19.8k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 3.25% Economics 98% kals 2 $19.4k

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