| claim | market | venues | horizons |
traded |
| Arkansas Secretary of State winner? — Kelly Grappe
Elections |
2.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Arkansas Secretary of State winner? — Michael Pakko
Elections |
2.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Alabama Secretary of State winner? — Wayne Rogers
Elections |
5.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Nebraska Governor margin of victory — Republicans, 1+ pts
Elections |
86% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Nebraska Governor margin of victory — Republicans, 16+ pts
Elections |
18% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Nebraska Governor margin of victory — Republicans, 19+ pts
Elections |
8.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Nebraska Governor margin of victory — Republicans, 22+ pts
Elections |
4.9% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Michigan Governor margin of victory — Republicans, 4+ pts
Elections |
2.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Michigan Governor margin of victory — Democrats, 5+ pts
Elections |
76% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Vermont Governor margin of victory — Republicans, 32+ pts
Elections |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Vermont Governor margin of victory — Republicans, 35+ pts
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Vermont Governor margin of victory — Republicans, 38+ pts
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Vermont Governor margin of victory — Republicans, 41+ pts
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Vermont Governor margin of victory — Republicans, 44+ pts
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election? — Ainārs Šlesers
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election? — Ilze Indriksone
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election? — Arvils Ašeradens
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election? — Andris Šuvajevs
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Milton, Ontario mayoral election winner? — Maliha K. Ahmed
Elections |
4.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Milton, Ontario mayoral election winner? — Zainab Azim
Elections |
3.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Nebraska Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 620K
Elections |
90% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Nebraska Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 670K
Elections |
79% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Nebraska Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 720K
Elections |
64% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Massachusetts 07 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 160K
Elections |
32% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Massachusetts 07 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 180K
Elections |
10% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| LA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round) — At least 2%
Elections |
97% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| LA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round) — At least 4%
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| LA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round) — At least 8%
Elections |
44% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round) — At least 8%
Elections |
73% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| LA-03 House election: Caleb Walker vote percent (1st Round) — At least 4%
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win in 2026? — At least 12
Elections |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win in 2026? — At least 16
Elections |
2.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| South Dakota Governor margin of victory — Rhoden, 33+ pts
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| South Dakota Governor margin of victory — Rhoden, 36+ pts
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| South Carolina Governor margin of victory — Wilson, 1+ pts
Elections |
91% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 20+ pts
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Maine Governor margin of victory — Pingree, 12+ pts
Elections |
67% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Maryland Governor margin of victory — Moore, 18+ pts
Elections |
95% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Kansas Governor margin of victory — Masterson, 17+ pts
Elections |
5.1% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Idaho Governor margin of victory — Little, 21+ pts
Elections |
66% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 14+ pts
Elections |
97% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 20+ pts
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Connecticut Governor margin of victory — Lamont, 29+ pts
Elections |
6.1% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Arkansas Governor margin of victory — Sanders, 31+ pts
Elections |
3.3% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Nevada Governor: which counties will Aaron Ford win? — Douglas
Elections |
3.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent — At least 26%
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent — At least 28%
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent — At least 30%
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent — At least 32%
Elections |
94% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: which party wins older women? — Republican party
Elections |
6.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |