| claim | market | venues | horizons |
traded |
| Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — At least 25%
Elections |
81% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — At least 27%
Elections |
54% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — At least 29%
Elections |
22% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — At least 31%
Elections |
7.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent — At least 30%
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent — At least 32%
Elections |
40% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent — At least 34%
Elections |
20% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent — At least 35%
Elections |
14% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout — At least 5,500,000
Elections |
13% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout — At least 5,600,000
Elections |
5.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout — At least 5,700,000
Elections |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Israeli Knesset election: voter turnout — At least 5,800,000
Elections |
3.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Spanish general election: Vox vote percent — At least 16%
Elections |
88% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Spanish general election: voter turnout — At least 22,000,000
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Spanish general election: voter turnout — At least 23,000,000
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Spanish general election: voter turnout — At least 24,000,000
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| SC-05 House election: Mallory Dittmer vote percent — At least 50%
Elections |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| PA-16 House election: Justin Wagner vote percent — At least 48%
Elections |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| PA-16 House election: Justin Wagner vote percent — At least 50%
Elections |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| NC-04 House election: Max Ganorkar vote percent — At least 16%
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| MI-12 House election: James Hooper vote percent — At least 16%
Elections |
97% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| HI-02 House election: Brenton Awa vote percent — At least 24%
Elections |
97% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Tennessee Senate election: Bill Hagerty vote percent — At least 54%
Elections |
94% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| VA-04 House election: Robert Murray vote percent — At least 16%
Elections |
97% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| VA-04 House election: Robert Murray vote percent — At least 18%
Elections |
97% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| VA-04 House election: Robert Murray vote percent — At least 20%
Elections |
97% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| TN-08 House election: David Kustoff vote percent — At least 48%
Elections |
97% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| TN-08 House election: David Kustoff vote percent — At least 50%
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| TN-03 House election: Chuck Fleischmann vote percent — At least 54%
Elections |
97% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| TN-03 House election: Chuck Fleischmann vote percent — At least 56%
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| TN-02 House election: Tim Burchett vote percent — At least 52%
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| TN-02 House election: Tim Burchett vote percent — At least 54%
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| MO-08 House election: Jason Smith vote percent — At least 64%
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| MI-09 House election: Lisa McClain vote percent — At least 56%
Elections |
94% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| CA-24 House election: Salud Carbajal vote percent — At least 58%
Elections |
85% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| CA-24 House election: Salud Carbajal vote percent — At least 56%
Elections |
94% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| CA-41 House election: Linda Sánchez vote percent — At least 54%
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| CA-03 House election: Robb Tucker vote percent — At least 32%
Elections |
91% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| CA-13 House election: Kevin Lincoln vote percent — At least 32%
Elections |
97% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Pennsylvania Governor election: Stacy Garrity vote percent — At least 30%
Elections |
97% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Pennsylvania Governor election: Stacy Garrity vote percent — At least 32%
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Oklahoma Governor election: Mike Mazzei vote percent — At least 50%
Elections |
82% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Maine Governor election: Bobby Charles vote percent — At least 34%
Elections |
91% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll? — Above 32%
Elections |
75% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29? — Above 26%
Elections |
91% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Tennessee Senate election: Bill Hagerty vote percent — At least 50%
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Tennessee Senate election: Bill Hagerty vote percent — At least 52%
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Massachusetts Senate election: Ed Markey vote percent — At least 56%
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Massachusetts Senate election: Ed Markey vote percent — At least 58%
Elections |
90% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Kansas Senate election: Roger Marshall vote percent — At least 44%
Elections |
94% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |