| claim | market | venues | horizons |
traded |
|---|
| Who will be the next Secretary of the Army? — Charles Young III
Politics |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? — Brett Kavanaugh
Politics |
3.0% |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? — Neil Gorsuch
Politics |
3.0% |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — Trae Stephens
Politics |
1.1% |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Jason Paul
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Jane Kleeb
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| When will the EU enact a social media ban for children? — Before Oct 1, 2027
Politics |
19% |
kals |
2 |
$0 |
| Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — Mike Rogers
Politics |
3.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Jon Tester
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Howard Dean
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Jaime Harrison
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 30% or above
Politics |
17% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — James Skoufis
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Marianne Williamson
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Will Venezuela exit OPEC? — Before Jul 1, 2027
Politics |
24% |
kals |
3 |
$0 |
| How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 26
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Pete Buttigieg
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Michael Blake
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Chris Korge
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many Senators will vote for the American Affordability and Jobs Act? — Above 80
Politics |
10% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Malcolm Kenyatta
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 13%
Politics |
4.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Will SCOTUS bar contempt for conduct not clearly prohibited by an injunction? — Before Aug 1, 20
Politics |
77% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| What will the tariff rate on Indian imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 10% or above
Politics |
80% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Virginia McGregor
Politics |
3.1% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 50% or above
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| What will the tariff rate on Indian imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 50% or above
Politics |
6.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — Keith Kellogg
Politics |
0.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 100% or above
Politics |
10% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Generic congressional ballot on Oct 15, 2026? — 8.0%
Politics |
2.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Mitch Landrieu
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029? — Above 5
Politics |
2.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029? — 1
Politics |
51% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
Politics |
36% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029? — 3
Politics |
9.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029? — 4
Politics |
2.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law? — At least 2
Politics |
95% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law? — At least 4
Politics |
20% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law? — At least 5
Politics |
15% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law? — At least 6
Politics |
10% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law? — At least 8
Politics |
5.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28? — Above 4,000
Politics |
79% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28? — Above 6,000
Politics |
57% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28? — Above 8,000
Politics |
43% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28? — Above 10,000
Politics |
29% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28? — Above 12,000
Politics |
16% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28? — Above 14,000
Politics |
11% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Will the 9th Circuit ease the Nexstar-Tegna injunction? — Before 2028
Politics |
26% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Will Nashville commercial property tax relief become law? — Yes
Politics |
66% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 10% or above
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |