| claim | market | venues | horizons |
traded |
|---|
| What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 15% or above
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor? — Before Feb 1, 2027
Politics |
38% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Shawn Fain announces departure as UAW President? — Before Jul 1, 2027
Politics |
10% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 40% or above
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 40% or above
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 50% or above
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico? — Before Jul 1, 2027
Politics |
3.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico? — Before Jul 1, 2028
Politics |
6.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico? — Before Jan 1, 2029
Politics |
8.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico? — Before Jul 1, 2029
Politics |
10% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico? — Before Jan 1, 2030
Politics |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada? — Before Jul 1, 2027
Politics |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
8.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada? — Before Jul 1, 2028
Politics |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada? — Before Jan 1, 2029
Politics |
28% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Sanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan? — Before Jul 1, 2027
Politics |
4.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Sanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
8.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Sanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan? — Before Jul 1, 2028
Politics |
15% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Sanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan? — Before Jan 1, 2029
Politics |
30% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Narendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
6.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Giorgia Meloni announces departure as Prime Minister of Italy? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
52% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be the next Deputy Attorney General? — Bill Essayli
Politics |
20% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Next DCCC chair? — Brad Schneider
Politics |
9.8% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Next DCCC chair? — Steven Horsford
Politics |
9.8% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026? — At least 20
Politics |
44% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026? — At least 22
Politics |
39% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026? — At least 24
Politics |
34% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026? — At least 26
Politics |
30% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026? — At least 28
Politics |
23% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Will Brazil's Senate open impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes? — Before Jan 1, 2
Politics |
5.5% |
kals |
2 |
$0 |
| Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? — Before Oct 1, 2027
Politics |
54% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |