| claim | market | venues | horizons |
traded |
|---|
| How many House votes for the Protect College Sports Act? — 200-219
Politics |
7.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many House votes for the Protect College Sports Act? — 220-239
Politics |
7.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many House votes for the Protect College Sports Act? — 240-259
Politics |
7.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many House votes for the Protect College Sports Act? — 260-279
Politics |
7.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many House votes for the Protect College Sports Act? — 280-299
Politics |
10% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many House votes for the Protect College Sports Act? — 300-319
Politics |
7.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many House votes for the Protect College Sports Act? — Above 319
Politics |
5.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 14
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term? — At least 4
Politics |
8.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 15% or above
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 15% or above
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor? — Before Feb 1, 2027
Politics |
38% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Shawn Fain announces departure as UAW President? — Before Jul 1, 2027
Politics |
10% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 40% or above
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 40% or above
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 50% or above
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico? — Before Jul 1, 2027
Politics |
3.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
5.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico? — Before Jul 1, 2028
Politics |
6.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico? — Before Jul 1, 2029
Politics |
10% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico? — Before Jan 1, 2030
Politics |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada? — Before Jul 1, 2027
Politics |
5.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
8.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada? — Before Jul 1, 2028
Politics |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Sanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan? — Before Jul 1, 2027
Politics |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Sanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
8.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Sanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan? — Before Jul 1, 2028
Politics |
15% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Sanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan? — Before Jan 1, 2029
Politics |
30% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Giorgia Meloni announces departure as Prime Minister of Italy? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
52% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be the next Deputy Attorney General? — Bill Essayli
Politics |
20% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Next DCCC chair? — Steven Horsford
Politics |
8.7% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? — Before Oct 1, 2027
Politics |
48% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will Trump pardon in 2026? — Kimberly Guilfoyle
Politics |
10% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State? — Before Oct 1, 2027
Politics |
60% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
69% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State? — Before Jul 1, 2028
Politics |
78% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027? — Damon Hininger
Politics |
9.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027? — Chuck Fleischmann
Politics |
8.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027? — Diana Harshbarger
Politics |
4.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027? — Andy Ogles
Politics |
4.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027? — Cameron Sexton
Politics |
4.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027? — Bill Lee
Politics |
4.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027? — No one
Politics |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| When will the Riksdag approve a new Prime Minister? — Before Nov 13, 2026
Politics |
15% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| When will the Riksdag approve a new Prime Minister? — Before Dec 19, 2026
Politics |
55% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| When will the Riksdag approve a new Prime Minister? — Before Feb 1, 2027
Politics |
79% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| When will the Riksdag approve a new Prime Minister? — Before Jul 1, 2027
Politics |
94% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Will the tariff on imported kitchen cabinets rise to 50%? — Yes
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Sébastien Lecornu announces departure as Prime Minister of France? — Before Dec 1, 2026
Politics |
9.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Sébastien Lecornu announces departure as Prime Minister of France? — Before Mar 1, 2027
Politics |
25% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |