polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 21970 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31379 Sports 23757 Crypto 5582 Economics 5545 Financials 3546 Commodities 2947 Politics 2685 Climate and Weather 1923 Entertainment 469 Mentions 273 Science and Technology 247

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
VA-03 House election: Bobby Scott vote percent — At least 74% Elections 38% kals 1 $132
TX-19 House election: Tom Sell vote percent — At least 68% Elections 66% kals 1 $132
CT-05 House election: Chris Shea vote percent — At least 40% Elections 49% kals 1 $132
2028 Democratic VP nominee — Cory Booker Elections — kals 1 $132
Who will Trump pardon? — Tou Thao Politics 20% kals 1 $132
Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win? — Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Al Elections 6.5% kals 1 $132
Pennsylvania Senate winner? (2028) — John Fetterman Elections 9.0% kals 1 $132
US real GDP growth in 2032? — 3.6% to 4.0% Economics 9.0% kals 1 $132
US real GDP growth in 2034? — 4.6% to 5.0% Economics 3.5% kals 1 $132
When will the next US recession start? — Q2 2025 Economics 1.8% kals 1 $131
New Mexico Senate election: Ben Ray Luján vote percent — At least 64% Elections 20% kals 1 $131
MO-01 House election: Paul Berry vote percent — At least 14% Elections 90% kals 1 $131
Delaware Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 380K Elections 34% kals 1 $131
Turkish presidential election winner? — Ahmet Davutoğlu Elections 8.0% kals 1 $131
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress? — Katherine Clark Elections — kals 1 $131
NV-04 House election: Cody Whipple vote percent — At least 50% Elections — kals 1 $131
OR-05 House election: Patti Adair vote percent — At least 48% Elections 6.5% kals 1 $131
NY-17 House election: Effie Phillips-Staley vote percent — At least 4% Elections — kals 1 $131
Florida Senate election: Angie Nixon vote percent — At least 47% Elections 24% kals 1 $131
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 11% Politics — kals 1 $131
Iowa Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 1.52M Elections 19% kals 1 $131
CA-45 House election: Chuong Vo vote percent — At least 48% Elections 10% kals 1 $130
How many House seats will Democrats win in New York? — 23 Elections 4.0% kals 1 $130
Who will run for president in 2028? — Jon Stewart Elections 7.5% kals 1 $130
MN-01 House election: Brad Finstad vote percent — At least 52% Elections 42% kals 1 $130
Connecticut Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 1.00M Elections 94% kals 1 $130
2028 Democratic VP nominee — Bernie Sanders Elections — kals 1 $130
TN-08 House winner? — Heidi Kuhn Elections 2.3% kals 1 $130
CO-06 House election: Edwardo Quinonez vote percent — At least 1% Elections — kals 1 $130
Milton, Ontario mayoral election winner? — Gord Krantz Elections 51% kals 1 $130
Colorado Senate election: John Hickenlooper vote percent — At least 56% Elections 89% kals 1 $130
PA-04 House election: Madeleine Dean vote percent — At least 60% Elections 65% kals 1 $130
CA-24 House election: Salud Carbajal vote percent — At least 60% Elections 84% kals 1 $130
Connecticut Governor election: Ned Lamont vote percent — At least 58% Elections 61% kals 1 $130
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 9 Politics 7.5% kals 1 $130
MI-02 House winner? — Benjamin Ambrose Elections 2.1% kals 1 $130
US real GDP growth in Q4 2026? — Above 0.0% Economics 94% kals 1 $130
How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — $900 billion to $1199 billion Politics 0.5% kals 1 $130
CO-05 House election: Matt Cavanaugh vote percent — At least 5% Elections — kals 1 $130
Louisiana 06 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 220K Elections — kals 1 $129
MO-01 House election: Paul Berry vote percent — At least 16% Elections 67% kals 1 $129
Louisiana 06 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 140K Elections 15% kals 1 $129
Next French presidential election winner? — Bruno Retailleau Elections 0.9% kals 1 $129
Who will be Argentina's Peronist presidential nominee? — Sergio Massa Elections 12% kals 1 $129
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026 — Above 0% Economics 76% kals 1 $128
Ghana presidential election winner? — Alan Kyerematen Elections 6.0% kals 1 $128
Nuevo León Governor winner? — Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo Elections — kals 1 $128
US real GDP growth in 2031? — 6.1% or Above Economics 4.5% kals 1 $128
MN-01 House election: Jake Johnson vote percent — At least 48% Elections 55% kals 1 $128
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Steven Menashi Politics — kals 1 $128

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