polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22118 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31348 Sports 21371 Crypto 5846 Economics 5674 Financials 3903 Commodities 3439 Politics 2591 Climate and Weather 1742 Entertainment 483 Mentions 242 Science and Technology 197

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
HI-01 House election: Ed Case vote percent — At least 70% Elections 68% kals 1 $680
New Hampshire Governor election: Kelly Ayotte vote percent — At least 48% Elections 6.5% kals 1 $680
New York Governor margin of victory — Hochul, 19+ pts Elections 25% kals 1 $680
How many House seats will Democrats win in Ohio? — 5 Elections 25% kals 1 $679
WA-02 House winner? — Rick Larsen Elections 98% kals 1 $679
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress? — Steve Scalise Elections 12% kals 1 $679
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Mette Frederiksen Elections 6.3% kals 1 $679
Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republicans win? — None Elections 7.0% kals 1 $678
VA-07 House winner? — Doug Ollivant Elections 2.5% kals 1 $677
Hawaii Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 430K Elections 29% kals 1 $677
Prešov mayoral election winner? — František Oľha Elections 82% kals 1 $676
FL-11 House winner? — James Pericola Elections 9.3% kals 1 $676
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Texas Elections 9.5% kals 1 $676
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.5% Economics 7.5% kals 1 $673
Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado? — Proposition 136 Elections 82% kals 1 $672
Florida Governor: which counties will Byron Donalds win? — Miami-Dade Elections 38% kals 1 $672
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election? — Colorado Elections 36% kals 1 $672
Ohio Senate election: Jon Husted vote percent — At least 54% Elections — kals 1 $672
ID-01 House winner? — Russ Fulcher Elections 98% kals 1 $672
Maine Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 780K Elections — kals 1 $672
TX-26 House winner? — Steven Shook Elections 3.3% kals 1 $671
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader? — Chuck Schumer Elections 36% kals 1 $671
Which states will redistrict before the midterms? — Kansas Elections 1.2% kals 1 $670
TX-23 House election: Brandon Herrera vote percent — At least 54% Elections 51% kals 1 $668
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm? — 4 Politics 1.8% kals 1 $667
New Jersey 07 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 280K Elections — kals 1 $666
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round) — At least 12% Elections 20% kals 1 $666
New York 10 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 160K Elections 71% kals 1 $666
Who will Obama endorse before the midterms? — Mary Peltola Politics 23% kals 1 $665
TX-23 House election: Brandon Herrera vote percent — At least 50% Elections 72% kals 1 $665
Texas Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 8.4M Elections 70% kals 1 $664
Canada unemployment rate in October — Above 6.4% Economics 62% kals 1 $663
UT-04 House election: Steven Burt vote percent — At least 3% Elections 43% kals 1 $663
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Jennifer Siebel Newsom Politics 8.5% kals 1 $662
Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 2+ pts Elections 65% kals 1 $662
UT-01 House election: Elias Montgomery vote percent — At least 1% Elections 52% kals 1 $661
IN-06 House election: Cynthia Wirth vote percent — At least 34% Elections 81% kals 1 $660
FL-19 House election: Jim Schwartzel vote percent — At least 58% Elections 59% kals 1 $660
Pennsylvania Governor election: Stacy Garrity vote percent — At least 36% Elections 62% kals 1 $659
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026 — Above 2,200 units Economics 12% kals 1 $659
TX-27 House election: Michael Cloud vote percent — At least 54% Elections 76% kals 1 $657
CT-03 House winner? — Rosa DeLauro Elections 97% kals 1 $657
MT-02 House election: Brian Miller vote percent — At least 38% Elections — kals 1 $657
Rhode Island Attorney General winner? — Alan Gordon Elections 2.1% kals 1 $657
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November — Hike 1-25bps Economics 14% kals 1 $656
UT-02 House election: Carlton Bowen vote percent — At least 1% Elections 79% kals 1 $656
How many House seats will Democrats win in Pennsylvania? — 7 Elections 2.5% kals 1 $655
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms? — Josh Turek Politics 8.0% kals 1 $655
WA-10 House winner? — Marilyn Strickland Elections 98% kals 1 $655
CA-17 House winner? — Ro Khanna Elections 98% kals 1 $655

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