polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22118 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31351 Sports 21857 Economics 6565 Crypto 6093 Financials 4204 Commodities 3566 Politics 2566 Climate and Weather 1894 Entertainment 475 Mentions 262 Science and Technology 193

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit? — Before 2028 Politics 70% kals 1 $542
US real GDP growth in 2032? — 0.6% to 1.0% Economics 1.5% kals 1 $542
UT-01 House election: Jesse West vote percent — At least 1% Elections 89% kals 1 $542
SC-01 House election: Nancy Lacore vote percent — At least 50% Elections 22% kals 1 $541
TX-02 House winner? — Steve Toth Elections 93% kals 1 $540
IN-04 House election: Jim Baird vote percent — At least 60% Elections 65% kals 1 $540
Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? — Alaska Elections 9.0% kals 1 $540
Oregon Governor election: Christine Drazan vote percent — At least 44% Elections 70% kals 1 $539
Georgia Senate election: Mike Collins vote percent (1st Round) — At least 46% Elections 36% kals 1 $539
TX-15 House election: Bobby Pulido vote percent — At least 48% Elections 94% kals 1 $539
Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado? — Amendment 81 Elections 44% kals 1 $538
Arkansas Governor margin of victory — Sanders, 28+ pts Elections 10% kals 1 $538
Tennessee Governor election: Jerri Green vote percent — At least 36% Elections 57% kals 1 $537
US real GDP growth in 2027? — 1.6% to 2.0% Economics 12% kals 1 $537
MD-08 House election: Nancy Wallace vote percent — At least 4% Elections 14% kals 1 $537
Michigan State Senate winner? — Republican party Elections 8.5% kals 1 $537
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — David Stras Politics 1.1% kals 1 $537
NY-17 House election: Cait Conley vote percent — At least 48% Elections 68% kals 1 $537
Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? — At least 85% Elections 10% kals 1 $536
How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona? — 3 Elections 5.0% kals 1 $536
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026? — Above 0.1% Economics — kals 1 $536
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — Before Jul 1, 2027 Politics 42% kals 1 $535
NC-12 House winner? — Alma Adams Elections 98% kals 1 $535
TX-23 House election: Katy Padilla Stout vote percent — At least 42% Elections 82% kals 1 $534
California 01 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 210K Elections — kals 1 $534
Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff) — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥10% Elections 10% kals 1 $534
KY-06 House election: Ralph Alvarado vote percent — At least 54% Elections 9.0% kals 1 $534
TX-20 House winner? — Joaquin Castro Elections 97% kals 1 $533
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026? — Above 0.3% Economics 36% kals 1 $533
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Tom Homan Politics 5.0% kals 1 $532
SC-05 House winner? — Mallory Dittmer Elections 7.2% kals 1 $532
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) — Nithya Raman, ≥10% Elections 24% kals 1 $532
Georgia Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 3.9M Elections 72% kals 1 $531
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) — 51 Elections 9.5% kals 1 $531
Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 6.0% kals 1 $531
LA-02 House election: Troy Carter vote percent (1st Round) — At least 74% Elections 60% kals 1 $529
IN-03 House winner? — Marlin Stutzman Elections 96% kals 1 $529
Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share? — At least 50% Elections — kals 1 $529
FL-17 House election: Greg Steube vote percent — At least 54% Elections 88% kals 1 $528
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 3.5% Economics — kals 1 $528
VA-03 House election: Bobby Scott vote percent — At least 72% Elections 62% kals 1 $528
CO-05 House election: Jessica Killin vote percent — At least 44% Elections 71% kals 1 $528
CPI-U index in October — Above 336.600 Economics 88% kals 1 $527
OH-04 House winner? — Jim Jordan Elections 97% kals 1 $527
US headline CPI inflation in December 2031 — Above 3.5% Economics — kals 1 $526
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Mark Milley Politics 5.1% kals 1 $526
Norway rate decision in November — Hike 1-25bps Economics 14% kals 1 $525
What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 10% or above Politics 87% kals 1 $523
CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026? — Exactly 0.1% Economics 19% kals 1 $522
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — Dan Driscoll Politics 13% kals 1 $522

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