polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22152 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31379 Sports 21613 Economics 5642 Crypto 5483 Financials 3965 Commodities 3179 Politics 2679 Climate and Weather 1822 Entertainment 461 Science and Technology 255 Mentions 221

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
NE-01 House election: Mike Flood vote percent — At least 48% Elections 86% kals 1 $183
CO-03 House election: Clifton Brown vote percent — At least 6% Elections — kals 1 $183
Florida Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 10.50M Elections 17% kals 1 $183
FL-24 House election: Oliver Gilbert III vote percent — At least 72% Elections 64% kals 1 $183
US real GDP growth in 2034? — 2.6% to 3.0% Economics 9.0% kals 1 $183
Rhode Island 01 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 190K Elections 16% kals 1 $183
NY-04 House election: Blay Tarnoff vote percent — At least 2% Elections 23% kals 1 $183
TX-12 House winner? — Angela Rodriguez Prilliman Elections 4.5% kals 1 $182
UT-02 House election: Daniel Cottam vote percent — At least 1% Elections 84% kals 1 $182
CPI in October — Above 0.8% Economics — kals 1 $182
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/11-10/17) — At least 5 Politics — kals 1 $182
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/11-10/17) — At least 1 Politics — kals 1 $182
Minnesota Governor election: Lisa Demuth vote percent — At least 52% Elections 76% kals 1 $182
Massachusetts Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 2.80M Elections 38% kals 1 $182
Idaho Senate election: Matt Loesby vote percent — At least 1% Elections 81% kals 1 $182
OK-05 House election: Stephanie Bice vote percent — At least 64% Elections — kals 1 $182
HI-02 House election: Jill Tokuda vote percent — At least 60% Elections — kals 1 $182
New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win? — Schenectady Elections 90% kals 1 $182
Iowa Governor margin of victory — Lahn, 6+ pts Elections 5.9% kals 1 $182
Los Angeles City Council District 13 winner election? — Colter Carlisle Elections 3.5% kals 1 $182
Colorado Governor election: Phil Weiser vote percent — At least 64% Elections 32% kals 1 $182
TX-19 House winner? — Kyle Rable Elections 2.1% kals 1 $182
Who will Trump pardon? — Jeffery Williams Politics 11% kals 1 $181
Will Michigan approve a constitutional convention? — Proposal 2026-01, the Michigan constitution Elections 10% kals 1 $181
Mexico unemployment rate in September — Above 2.9% Economics 60% kals 1 $181
Next German federal election winner? — CDU/CSU Elections 12% kals 1 $181
TX-15 House election: Bobby Pulido vote percent — At least 46% Elections — kals 1 $181
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Colorado Elections — kals 1 $181
Louisiana Senate election: Julia Letlow vote percent — At least 52% Elections 84% kals 1 $181
New Mexico Senate election: Ben Ray Luján vote percent — At least 60% Elections 58% kals 1 $181
Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania? — Cătălin Predoiu Elections — kals 1 $180
Swiss National Bank rate decision in December — Cut 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $180
California 50 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 250K Elections 46% kals 1 $180
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Otzma Yehudit Elections — kals 1 $180
Who will Obama endorse before the midterms? — Sherrod Brown Elections 92% kals 1 $180
Who will Obama endorse before the midterms? — Roy Cooper Elections 92% kals 1 $180
KY-04 House election: Ed Gallrein vote percent — At least 66% Elections 7.5% kals 1 $180
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 5.0% Economics — kals 1 $180
PA-06 House winner? — Marty Young Elections 2.0% kals 1 $180
Finnish general election winner? — Finns Party Elections 9.0% kals 1 $180
Hawaii Governor election: Gary Cordery vote percent — At least 30% Elections 78% kals 1 $180
Kansas Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 1.21M Elections 33% kals 1 $180
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Alaska Elections 10% kals 1 $180
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 16, 2026? — 8.0% Politics 2.5% kals 2 $180
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026? — Formal USMCA amendment Politics 16% kals 1 $179
AR-02 House election: Chris Jones vote percent — At least 48% Elections 34% kals 1 $179
Lexington mayoral election winner? — Raquel Carter Elections 16% kals 1 $179
Texas Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 9.2M Elections 48% kals 1 $179
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 4.5% Economics — kals 1 $179
Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round) — Jordan Bardella Elections 3.5% kals 1 $179

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