polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1357 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24515 Economics 5393 Crypto 5259 Commodities 2811 Politics 2616 Financials 2360 Climate and Weather 1616 Entertainment 462 Science and Technology 217 Mentions 143

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Bank of England rate decision in November — Maintain current rate Economics 9.0% kals 1 $255
China unemployment rate in September — Above 5.2% Economics 37% kals 1 $251
Bank of Mexico rate decision in November — Hike 25bps Economics 4.5% kals 1 $249
US headline CPI inflation in December 2031 — Above 4.0% Economics 88% kals 1 $248
US airline fares CPI for September — Above 324 Economics — kals 1 $247
Chile rate decision in October — Hike more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $247
US headline CPI inflation in December 2028 — Above 3.5% Economics 26% kals 1 $243
US used cars and trucks CPI for September — Above 179 Economics — kals 1 $243
Japan’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -3.5% of GDP Economics 94% kals 1 $243
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 1.0% Economics — kals 1 $239
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 — Above 32.5% Economics 38% kals 1 $238
US headline CPI inflation in December 2033 — Above 3.0% Economics 89% kals 1 $238
US airline fares CPI for September — Above 330 Economics 78% kals 1 $237
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December — Cut 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $237
US real GDP growth in 2033? — 3.6% to 4.0% Economics 5.0% kals 1 $235
CPI core month-over-month in Oct 2026? — Exactly 0.5% Economics 9.0% kals 1 $235
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 — Above 31.5% Economics 92% kals 1 $234
Japan’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -3.0% of GDP Economics 92% kals 1 $230
US real GDP growth in 2029? — 2.6% to 3.0% Economics 12% kals 1 $225
US headline CPI inflation in December 2030 — Above 4.5% Economics — kals 1 $224
CPI core in December 2026 — Above 0.4% Economics 4.5% kals 1 $219
US shelter CPI in September — Above 430.8 Economics — kals 1 $218
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.8% Economics 2.5% kals 1 $215
Italy’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -3.5% of GDP Economics 89% kals 1 $215
US real GDP growth in 2036? — 4.6% to 5.0% Economics 1.5% kals 1 $211
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026? — Cut 25bps Economics — kals 1 $211
US headline CPI inflation in December 2035 — Above 0.0% Economics — kals 1 $209
Colombia rate decision in October — Hike more than 25bps Economics 7.0% kals 1 $209
Germany unemployment rate in October — Above 6.4% Economics — kals 1 $209
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 1.5% Economics 88% kals 1 $208
Bank of Korea rate decision in October — Hike 1-25bps Economics 4.0% kals 1 $206
Mexico unemployment rate in September — Above 2.9% Economics 57% kals 1 $206
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026 — Above 30% Economics 20% kals 1 $203
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.0% Economics — kals 1 $202
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.6% Economics 3.5% kals 1 $201
CPI-U index in September — Above 335.400 Economics — kals 1 $199
CPI in October — Above 0.9% Economics 2.5% kals 1 $197
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.7% Economics 2.5% kals 1 $197
Japan’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -2.0% of GDP Economics 67% kals 1 $195
US real GDP growth in 2031? — 1.6% to 2.0% Economics 8.0% kals 1 $193
US gasoline CPI for September — Above 365 Economics — kals 1 $190
CPI-U index in September — Above 336.700 Economics — kals 1 $185
US real GDP growth in 2034? — 2.6% to 3.0% Economics 8.0% kals 1 $183
Swiss National Bank rate decision in December — Cut 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $180
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 5.0% Economics — kals 1 $180
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 4.5% Economics — kals 1 $179
Bank Indonesia rate decision in October — Hike 1-25bps Economics 45% kals 1 $176
Brazil unemployment rate in September — Above 5.3% Economics 7.0% kals 1 $176
Fed decision in Jan 2028? — Cut 25bps Economics 13% kals 1 $173
Bank of Mexico rate decision in November — Cut more than 50bps Economics — kals 1 $172

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