polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1357 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24574 Economics 5393 Crypto 5326 Commodities 2859 Politics 2616 Financials 2397 Climate and Weather 1625 Entertainment 467 Science and Technology 215 Mentions 143

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026 — Above 20% Economics 66% kals 1 $171
US headline CPI inflation in December 2031 — Above 6.0% Economics — kals 1 $170
US real GDP growth in 2034? — 6.1% or Above Economics 3.0% kals 1 $169
Mexico unemployment rate in September — Above 2.8% Economics 78% kals 1 $164
CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? — Exactly 3.4% Economics — kals 1 $164
US headline CPI inflation in December 2030 — Above 0.5% Economics — kals 1 $162
CPI in December — Above 0.2% Economics 48% kals 1 $162
US headline CPI inflation in December 2032 — Above 0.5% Economics — kals 1 $161
US unemployment rate at year-end 2029 — Above 10.0% Economics 6.0% kals 1 $160
CPI-U index in September — Above 335.500 Economics — kals 1 $160
US gasoline CPI for September — Above 372 Economics — kals 1 $154
US real GDP growth in 2031? — 4.6% to 5.0% Economics 2.5% kals 1 $152
CPI core in December 2026 — Above 0.6% Economics 1.5% kals 1 $152
September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core — Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2% Economics — kals 1 $152
Bank of Mexico rate decision in December — Maintain current rate Economics 82% kals 1 $151
US tariff revenue for 2026 — Above $150‎ billion Economics — kals 1 $151
Fed decision in Sep 2027? — Hike 25bps Economics 14% kals 1 $151
US tariff revenue for 2026 — Above $200‎ billion Economics — kals 1 $150
US headline CPI inflation in December 2035 — Above 1.5% Economics 12% kals 1 $149
Fed decision in Dec 2027? — Cut 25bps Economics 8.0% kals 1 $149
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? — Exactly 4.1% Economics — kals 1 $148
How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026? — Above 0.2% Economics 46% kals 1 $147
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 4.75% Economics — kals 2 $147
How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? — Above 0.2% Economics 48% kals 1 $146
Russia unemployment rate in September — Above 2.3% Economics — kals 1 $145
Mexico unemployment rate in September — Above 3.0% Economics 40% kals 1 $145
CPI in September — Above 0.9% Economics — kals 1 $143
Sweden rate decision in November — Cut 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $143
US real GDP growth in 2036? — 6.1% or Above Economics 2.0% kals 1 $142
Canada unemployment rate in October — Above 6.4% Economics 64% kals 1 $142
September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core — Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: 0.1% or below Economics — kals 1 $139
When will the next US recession start? — Q4 2024 Economics 1.6% kals 1 $139
US real GDP growth in 2032? — 3.1% to 3.5% Economics 9.0% kals 1 $139
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 4.6% to 5.0% Economics — kals 1 $138
Mexico unemployment rate in September — Above 3.1% Economics 8.5% kals 1 $138
Hungary rate decision in October — Cut 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $134
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026 — Above 2,500 units Economics 4.5% kals 1 $134
CPI core in December 2026 — Above 0.5% Economics 1.5% kals 1 $134
China unemployment rate in September — Above 5.3% Economics — kals 1 $133
US real GDP growth in 2032? — 3.6% to 4.0% Economics 9.0% kals 1 $132
US real GDP growth in 2034? — 4.6% to 5.0% Economics 2.5% kals 1 $132
US real GDP growth in 2036? — 3.1% to 3.5% Economics 1.5% kals 1 $131
When will the next US recession start? — Q2 2025 Economics 1.8% kals 1 $131
Germany unemployment rate in October — Above 5.9% Economics 88% kals 1 $130
US real GDP growth in Q4 2026? — Above 0.0% Economics 94% kals 1 $130
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026 — Above 0% Economics 78% kals 1 $128
US real GDP growth in 2031? — 6.1% or Above Economics 6.0% kals 1 $128
US real GDP growth in 2027? — 6.1% or Above Economics 4.0% kals 1 $128
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.6% Economics 1.5% kals 1 $128
US real GDP growth in 2036? — 3.6% to 4.0% Economics 1.5% kals 1 $127

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