polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1357 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31295 Sports 24265 Economics 6176 Crypto 5558 Commodities 3049 Financials 2814 Politics 2631 Climate and Weather 1711 Entertainment 462 Science and Technology 228 Mentions 182

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Australia unemployment rate in September — Above 4.5% Economics 78% kals 1 $43
CPI core year-over-year in Dec 2026 — Exactly 2.7% Economics 19% kals 1 $42
Philippines rate decision in October — Cut 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $42
US unemployment rate at year-end 2027 — Above 8.0% Economics 5.0% kals 1 $42
CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 — Exactly 3.7% Economics 12% kals 1 $42
CPI core in November 2026 — Above 0.6% Economics 1.5% kals 1 $42
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 — Above 34.0% Economics 11% kals 1 $41
US headline CPI inflation in December 2033 — Above 1.0% Economics 59% kals 1 $41
US nominal GDP growth in 2035 — Above 4.5% Economics 46% kals 1 $41
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December — Hike 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $41
Philippines rate decision in October — Cut more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $41
Germany unemployment rate in October — Above 6.3% Economics — kals 1 $40
Bank of Russia rate decision in October — Cut 1-25bps Economics 8.0% kals 1 $40
CPI core year-over-year in Dec 2026 — Exactly 2.5% Economics 10% kals 1 $40
CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 — Exactly 3.5% Economics 10% kals 1 $39
CPI core year-over-year in Nov 2026? — Exactly 2.5% Economics 13% kals 1 $38
US gasoline CPI for September — Above 381 Economics — kals 1 $38
US headline CPI inflation in December 2031 — Above 2.5% Economics — kals 1 $38
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 6.1% or Above Economics — kals 1 $38
US headline CPI inflation in December 2033 — Above 2.0% Economics — kals 1 $38
How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026? — Above 0.4% Economics 8.5% kals 1 $37
CPI core year-over-year in Dec 2026 — Exactly 2.8% Economics 17% kals 1 $37
US gasoline CPI for September — Above 374 Economics — kals 1 $36
US real GDP growth in 2031? — 2.6% to 3.0% Economics 9.0% kals 1 $36
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? — Exactly 5.0% Economics — kals 1 $36
Bank of Thailand rate decision in October — Cut 1-25bps Economics 6.5% kals 1 $36
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 3.6% to 4.0% Economics — kals 1 $36
CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 — Exactly 4.1% Economics 3.0% kals 1 $36
US real GDP growth in 2029? — 1.6% to 2.0% Economics 12% kals 1 $35
MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win? — At least 15% Economics 25% kals 1 $35
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November — Hike more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $34
Norway rate decision in November — Cut more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $34
US gasoline CPI for September — Above 377 Economics — kals 1 $33
US real GDP growth in 2027? — 4.1% to 4.5% Economics 3.5% kals 1 $33
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026? — Above 0.4% Economics — kals 1 $32
European Central Bank rate decision in December — Maintain current rate Economics 20% kals 1 $32
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? — Exactly 4.7% Economics — kals 1 $32
Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting? — Christopher Waller Economics 14% kals 1 $31
US used cars and trucks CPI for September — Above 177 Economics — kals 1 $31
US headline CPI inflation in December 2034 — Above 6.0% Economics 8.5% kals 1 $31
US unemployment rate at year-end 2028 — Above 10.0% Economics 6.5% kals 1 $30
Bank of Mexico rate decision in December — Hike 25bps Economics 4.5% kals 1 $30
CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? — Exactly 3.0% Economics — kals 1 $30
US headline CPI inflation in December 2033 — Above 4.0% Economics — kals 1 $30
US real GDP growth in 2034? — 4.1% to 4.5% Economics 1.5% kals 1 $29
Bank of England rate decision in December — Cut more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $28
CPI core year-over-year in Sep 2026? — Exactly 2.6% Economics 8.5% kals 1 $27
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November — Hike 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $27
CPI-U index in September — Above 336.300 Economics — kals 1 $27
Hungary rate decision in October — Cut more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $27

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