polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1358 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31325 Sports 23718 Economics 5510 Crypto 5467 Commodities 3034 Financials 2900 Politics 2638 Climate and Weather 1684 Entertainment 465 Science and Technology 239 Mentions 185

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
US headline CPI inflation in December 2036 — Above 4.5% Economics — kals 1 $11
How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting? — 5 Economics — kals 1 $11
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November — Hike more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $11
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? — Exactly 4.8% Economics — kals 1 $10
US headline CPI inflation in December 2030 — Above 6.0% Economics — kals 1 $10
South Africa rate decision in November — Cut more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $10
Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026 — Above 1.8% Economics 14% kals 1 $10
Chile rate decision in October — Cut more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $10
Bank of Japan rate decision in October — Cut 25bps Economics — kals 1 $10
US nominal GDP growth in 2029 — Above 5.5% Economics 30% kals 1 $10
US headline CPI inflation in December 2035 — Above 3.5% Economics — kals 1 $10
European Central Bank rate decision in October — Cut more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $10
Bank of Japan rate decision in October — Cut more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $10
US headline CPI inflation in December 2031 — Above 3.0% Economics — kals 1 $9
CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 — Exactly 4.2% Economics 10% kals 1 $9
CPI month-over-month in Dec 2026 — Exactly 0.4% Economics 16% kals 1 $9
US gasoline CPI for September — Above 382 Economics — kals 1 $9
Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026? — 5 or moreㅤ Economics — kals 1 $9
Bank of England rate decision in November — Cut 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $9
US nominal GDP growth in 2029 — Above 6.0% Economics 23% kals 1 $9
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December — Maintain current rate Economics — kals 1 $9
US unemployment rate at year-end 2027 — Above 6.0% Economics 45% kals 1 $8
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? — Exactly 4.5% Economics 2.5% kals 1 $8
Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting? — Lisa Cook Economics — kals 1 $8
Norway rate decision in November — Cut 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $8
US headline CPI inflation in December 2036 — Above 3.0% Economics — kals 1 $7
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? — Exactly 5.2% Economics — kals 1 $7
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? — Exactly 5.1% Economics — kals 1 $7
European Central Bank rate decision in October — Hike more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $7
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? — Exactly 4.9% Economics — kals 1 $7
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026 — Above 10% Economics 73% kals 1 $7
US headline CPI inflation in December 2034 — Above 4.5% Economics — kals 1 $7
Bank of Thailand rate decision in October — Cut more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $7
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 1.5% Economics — kals 1 $7
50% tariffs on Canadian autos and steel in effect? — Yes Economics 22% kals 1 $7
Brazil GDP growth in Q4 2026 (YoY) — Above 2.5% Economics 23% kals 1 $7
Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 — Exactly 1.75% Economics — kals 1 $7
US headline CPI inflation in December 2028 — Above 4.5% Economics — kals 1 $6
China’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -6.5% of GDP Economics 4.5% kals 1 $6
US headline CPI inflation in December 2032 — Above 1.5% Economics — kals 1 $6
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? — Exactly 4.0% Economics — kals 1 $6
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? — Exactly 5.0% Economics — kals 1 $6
US real GDP growth in 2027? — 3.1% to 3.5% Economics 6.5% kals 1 $6
Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken? — Reserve President Removed Economics 7.0% kals 1 $6
US headline CPI inflation in December 2032 — Above 3.0% Economics — kals 1 $6
Bank of Mexico rate decision in December — Cut 50bps Economics — kals 1 $5
Bank of Thailand rate decision in October — Hike more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $5
European Central Bank rate decision in December — Hike more than 25bps Economics 3.5% kals 1 $5
CPI month-over-month in Oct 2026? — Exactly 0.6% Economics — kals 1 $5
MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win? — Below 15% Economics 75% kals 1 $5

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