polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1357 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24673 Economics 5393 Crypto 5359 Politics 2636 Commodities 2531 Financials 2297 Climate and Weather 1646 Entertainment 466 Science and Technology 219 Mentions 144

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 2.75% Economics 93% kals 8 $8.6k
Germany’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -4.5% of GDP Economics 88% kals 1 $8.4k
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 3.00 Economics — kals 1 $8.2k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 1.50% Economics 94% kals 8 $8.1k
US real GDP growth in Q1 2027? — Above 3.5% Economics 17% kals 2 $8.1k
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026 — Above 87.5 TWh Economics 96% kals 1 $8.0k
US government budget balance in 2026 — Above -8.5% of GDP Economics 63% kals 1 $7.9k
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.3% Economics 94% kals 1 $7.8k
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.5% Economics 84% kals 1 $7.6k
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.6% Economics 78% kals 1 $7.6k
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.4% Economics 88% kals 1 $7.6k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 1.00% Economics 94% kals 8 $7.5k
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.4% Economics 92% kals 1 $7.4k
Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting? — Above 4.50% Economics — kals 8 $7.4k
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $5.60 Economics 94% kals 1 $7.4k
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November — Maintain current rate Economics 76% kals 1 $7.4k
CPI core month-over-month in Sep 2026? — Exactly 0.2% Economics 48% kals 1 $7.1k
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.6% Economics 62% kals 1 $7.0k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 0.75% Economics 94% kals 8 $7.0k
CPI in October — Above 0.3% Economics 23% kals 1 $6.9k
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $5.40 Economics 94% kals 1 $6.7k
Headline PCE inflation in September — Above 0.1% Economics — kals 1 $6.5k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.25% Economics 16% kals 2 $6.4k
Chile rate decision in October — Maintain current rate Economics 94% kals 1 $6.3k
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $4.80 Economics 98% kals 1 $6.2k
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 0.0% Economics 88% kals 1 $6.1k
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.1% Economics 12% kals 1 $6.1k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 1.75% Economics 95% kals 8 $6.0k
CPI core in November 2026 — Above 0.2% Economics 42% kals 1 $5.7k
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026 — Above 90.0 TWh Economics 96% kals 1 $5.6k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 0.50% Economics 93% kals 8 $5.5k
Hungary rate decision in October — Maintain current rate Economics — kals 1 $5.5k
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.7% Economics 48% kals 1 $5.4k
Fed decision in Dec 2027? — Fed maintains rate Economics 80% kals 1 $5.4k
Bank of Israel rate decision in October — Maintain current rate Economics 92% kals 1 $5.3k
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.9% Economics 12% kals 1 $5.3k
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 2.75 Economics — kals 1 $5.3k
CPI in November — Above 0.2% Economics 48% kals 1 $5.3k
US real GDP growth in Q1 2027? — Above 4.0% Economics 9.5% kals 2 $5.2k
Swiss National Bank rate decision in December — Maintain current rate Economics 76% kals 1 $5.2k
Bank of Mexico rate decision in November — Maintain current rate Economics 75% kals 1 $5.1k
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.1% Economics 92% kals 1 $5.1k
CPI core month-over-month in Sep 2026? — Exactly 0.3% Economics 30% kals 1 $5.0k
How high will CPI get this year? — Above 4.2% Economics 38% kals 1 $5.0k
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $6.20 Economics 66% kals 1 $4.9k
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.5% Economics 82% kals 1 $4.8k
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.8% Economics 22% kals 1 $4.8k
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 2.5% Economics 76% kals 1 $4.8k
Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026? — Yes Economics 5.0% kals 1 $4.5k
Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 — Exactly 2.25% Economics 38% kals 1 $4.4k

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