| claim | market | venues | horizons |
traded |
| Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco? — Proposition H
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco? — Proposition I
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco? — Proposition J
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional) — Democrats, ≥5%
Elections |
92% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional) — Democrats, ≥7%
Elections |
80% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Which parties will win a seat in Spain's Congress? — Coalición Canaria
Elections |
87% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Which parties will win a seat in Spain's Congress? — Adelante Andalucía
Elections |
74% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be Knesset Speaker after the election? — Yair Lapid
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be Knesset Speaker after the election? — Naftali Bennett
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be Knesset Speaker after the election? — Gadi Eisenkot
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be Knesset Speaker after the election? — Avigdor Lieberman
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Who will be Knesset Speaker after the election? — Yair Golan
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| WY-AL House election: Chuck Gray vote percent — At least 58%
Elections |
94% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Massachusetts Governor election: Maura Healey vote percent — At least 54%
Elections |
94% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Virginia 02 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 370K
Elections |
13% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Virginia 01 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 410K
Elections |
36% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| New York 12 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 310K
Elections |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| New Mexico Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 690K
Elections |
63% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Mississippi Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 710K
Elections |
78% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Arizona Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 3.3M
Elections |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent — At least 8%
Elections |
93% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Georgia Senate election: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round) — At least 55%
Elections |
49% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| WY-AL House election: Chuck Gray vote percent — At least 56%
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| OK-05 House election: Stephanie Bice vote percent — At least 46%
Elections |
94% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| WI-01 House election: Bryan Steil vote percent — At least 44%
Elections |
94% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| MI-04 House election: Bill Huizenga vote percent — At least 42%
Elections |
95% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Wisconsin Governor election: Tom Tiffany vote percent — At least 47%
Elections |
58% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round) — At least 34%
Elections |
7.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Spanish general election: voter turnout — At least 28,000,000
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Illinois 16 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 390K
Elections |
9.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Virginia 02 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 380K
Elections |
10% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Virginia 01 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 500K
Elections |
6.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| New York 12 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 330K
Elections |
7.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Israeli legislative election: % of vote below threshold — At least 2%
Elections |
95% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Israeli legislative election: % of vote below threshold — At least 3%
Elections |
89% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Israeli legislative election: % of vote below threshold — At least 7%
Elections |
42% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Israeli legislative election: % of vote below threshold — At least 10%
Elections |
5.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Wisconsin Governor margin of victory — Tiffany, 1+ pts
Elections |
16% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 2+ pts
Elections |
11% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 5+ pts
Elections |
5.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 6+ pts
Elections |
6.6% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Vermont Governor margin of victory — Janoo, 2+ pts
Elections |
14% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Vermont Governor margin of victory — Janoo, 5+ pts
Elections |
6.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Vermont Governor margin of victory — Janoo, 8+ pts
Elections |
4.2% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Oregon Governor margin of victory — Drazan, 5+ pts
Elections |
5.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Sarawak state election: GPS number of seats? — 60 or more
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Sarawak state election: GPS number of seats? — 66 or more
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Sarawak state election: GPS number of seats? — 70 or more
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Sarawak state election: GPS number of seats? — 72 or more
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Sarawak state election: GPS number of seats? — 74 or more
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |