polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1077 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31325 Sports 23718 Economics 5510 Crypto 5467 Commodities 3034 Financials 2900 Politics 2638 Climate and Weather 1684 Entertainment 465 Science and Technology 239 Mentions 185

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm? — 5 Politics 1.6% kals 1 $15
Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Martin O’Malley Politics 13% kals 1 $15
What will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 30% or above Politics 20% kals 1 $14
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Clint Bolick Politics 0.1% kals 1 $14
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? — Scott Bessent Politics 3.5% kals 1 $14
Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Stacey Abrams Politics — kals 1 $14
Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Reyna Walters-Morgan Politics — kals 1 $14
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm? — 6 Politics 1.1% kals 1 $13
Will the Drain the Swamp Act become law? — Before Jan 4, 2027 Politics 3.8% kals 1 $12
When will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch? — Before Jul 1, 2027 Politics 9.0% kals 3 $12
Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Artie Blanco Politics 3.5% kals 1 $12
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 250 Politics 1.5% kals 1 $11
What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 20% or above Politics 30% kals 1 $11
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Allison Eid Politics 0.1% kals 1 $10
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Mark Martin Politics 0.2% kals 1 $10
Giorgia Meloni announces departure as Prime Minister of Italy? — Before Jul 1, 2027 Politics 32% kals 1 $10
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — Christopher Miller Politics 1.1% kals 1 $10
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Patrick Wyrick Politics 0.1% kals 1 $10
Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Andy Beshear Politics 6.7% kals 1 $10
Who will Trump pardon in 2026? — Aimee Bock Politics 4.3% kals 1 $10
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Evan Young Politics 0.1% kals 1 $10
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Trevor McFadden Politics 0.1% kals 1 $10
Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration? — Before 2030 Politics 35% kals 1 $10
Ken Martin out as DNC chair? — Before Oct 1, 2026 Politics — kals 1 $10
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — Wesley Hunt Politics 3.6% kals 1 $9
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Kevin Brobson Politics 0.1% kals 1 $9
Will Apple win its case against OpenAI? — Before 2029 Politics 56% kals 1 $9
Which of these African leaders will leave office next? — Abdelmadjid Tebboune Politics 5.2% kals 1 $8
Will the debt ceiling be abolished? — Before 2027 Politics 2.5% kals 1 $8
How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? — 1 Politics 3.0% kals 1 $8
Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Ben Wikler Politics — kals 1 $7
How many Senators will vote for the American Affordability and Jobs Act? — Above 60 Politics 68% kals 1 $7
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? — Lorie Logan Politics 3.4% kals 1 $7
How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026? — Exactly 3 Politics 3.0% kals 1 $7
Next DCCC chair? — Jason Crow Politics 2.6% kals 1 $6
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? — Elena Kagan Politics 5.5% kals 1 $6
How many Senators will vote for the American Affordability and Jobs Act? — Above 64 Politics 62% kals 1 $6
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Irfaan Ali Politics 3.5% kals 1 $6
Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Ro Khanna Politics — kals 1 $6
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army? — Brian Mast Politics 3.0% kals 1 $6
Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Shasti Conrad Politics 4.3% kals 1 $5
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 12% Politics 3.5% kals 1 $5
How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 24 Politics 3.5% kals 1 $5
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — October 15 Politics 14% kals 1 $5
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Candace Owens Politics 3.1% kals 1 $5
Narendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India? — Before Jan 1, 2029 Politics 34% kals 1 $5
What will the tariff rate on Indian imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 30% or above Politics 16% kals 1 $5
Narendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India? — Before Jul 1, 2028 Politics 9.5% kals 1 $5
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026? — 8.3% Politics 15% kals 2 $5
What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term? — 8 Conservatives and 1 Libera Politics 1.1% kals 1 $4

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