| claim | market | venues | horizons |
traded |
| Will legislation establishing the Canada Strong Fund become law in 2026? — Yes
Politics |
21% |
kals |
1 |
$4 |
| John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader? — Before Oct 1, 2026
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$4 |
| Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Anna St. John
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$4 |
| Who will be the next Secretary of the Army? — Brent Ingraham
Politics |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$4 |
| Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — Mike Gallagher
Politics |
1.1% |
kals |
1 |
$3 |
| Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? — Philip Jefferson
Politics |
3.9% |
kals |
1 |
$3 |
| Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair? — Before Jan 1, 2029
Politics |
6.5% |
kals |
1 |
$3 |
| How many Senators will vote for the American Affordability and Jobs Act? — Above 68
Politics |
56% |
kals |
1 |
$3 |
| Who will be the next Secretary of the Army? — W. Jordan Gillis
Politics |
5.0% |
kals |
1 |
$3 |
| Who will be the next Secretary of the Army? — Marc Andersen
Politics |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$3 |
| Will North Dakota ban cloud seeding? — Yes
Politics |
24% |
kals |
1 |
$3 |
| Will the FCC ban new Chinese data center transceivers? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Politics |
34% |
kals |
2 |
$3 |
| How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28? — Above 16,000
Politics |
6.0% |
kals |
1 |
$3 |
| What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 30% or above
Politics |
20% |
kals |
1 |
$3 |
| What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 30% or above
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$3 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — J.B. Pritzker
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$2 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Nate Snyder
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$2 |
| How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm? — 7
Politics |
1.1% |
kals |
1 |
$2 |
| What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term? — 9 Conservatives and 0 Libera
Politics |
1.0% |
kals |
1 |
$2 |
| Meta wins child safety trial? — Before Jul 1, 2027
Politics |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$2 |
| Who will Trump pardon in 2026? — Tal Alexander
Politics |
8.1% |
kals |
1 |
$2 |
| Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Yaakov Roth
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$2 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Sherrod Brown
Politics |
3.4% |
kals |
1 |
$2 |
| Jared Polis out as Governor of Colorado? — Before Sep 1, 2026
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$2 |
| How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term? — At least 3
Politics |
26% |
kals |
1 |
$2 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Amanda Litman
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$2 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Tim Walz
Politics |
3.4% |
kals |
1 |
$2 |
| What will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 10% or above
Politics |
80% |
kals |
1 |
$2 |
| What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 10% or above
Politics |
80% |
kals |
1 |
$2 |
| How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm? — 9
Politics |
1.1% |
kals |
1 |
$2 |
| How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm? — 8
Politics |
1.1% |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Laphonza Butler
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? — David Malpass
Politics |
4.0% |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Gretchen Whitmer
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| When will Scotland call a snap election? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
30% |
kals |
2 |
$1 |
| Ken Martin out as DNC chair? — Before Nov 1, 2026
Politics |
5.0% |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Jason Rae
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Quintessa Hathaway
Politics |
2.5% |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — Tulsi Gabbard
Politics |
0.5% |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Pramila Jayapal
Politics |
2.5% |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? — Mike Waltz
Politics |
1.6% |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — Bill Hagerty
Politics |
1.1% |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Who will be the next Secretary of the Army? — Charles Young III
Politics |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? — Brett Kavanaugh
Politics |
3.0% |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? — Neil Gorsuch
Politics |
3.0% |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — Trae Stephens
Politics |
1.1% |
kals |
1 |
$1 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Jason Paul
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Steve Feinberg out as Deputy Secretary of Defense? — Before Nov 1, 2026
Politics |
14% |
kals |
4 |
$0 |
| Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Jane Kleeb
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| When will the EU enact a social media ban for children? — Before Oct 1, 2027
Politics |
19% |
kals |
2 |
$0 |