polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 21972 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31398 Sports 30139 Economics 5321 Crypto 5115 Politics 2636 Financials 2535 Climate and Weather 2007 Commodities 1781 Entertainment 477 Mentions 298 Science and Technology 275 Companies 1

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Maine Governor margin of victory — Pingree, 21+ pts Elections 17% kals 1 $6
Surrey mayoral election winner? — Mike Starchuk Elections — kals 1 $6
Vermont Governor election: Phil Scott vote percent — At least 45% Elections 60% kals 1 $6
NY-17 House election: Mike Lawler vote percent — At least 46% Elections 74% kals 1 $6
Florida Senate election: Ashley Moody vote percent — At least 60% Elections — kals 1 $6
MI-01 House election: Callie Barr vote percent — At least 42% Elections 59% kals 1 $6
MA-08 House winner? — Robert Burke Elections 2.2% kals 1 $6
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round) — At least 46% Elections 60% kals 1 $6
Surrey mayoral election winner? — Honveer Singh Randhawa Elections — kals 1 $6
Chicago Mayor winner? — Lisa Madigan Elections — kals 1 $6
Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election? — Itamar Ben-Gvir Elections 6.0% kals 1 $6
How many Pennsylvania mail ballots will be requested? — At least 1.3 million Elections 62% kals 1 $6
North Carolina 11 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 420K Elections 7.5% kals 1 $6
Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll? — Above 30% Elections 90% kals 1 $6
Bosniak member of the Presidency winner? — Semir Efendic Elections — kals 1 $6
Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Ro Khanna Politics — kals 1 $6
US real GDP growth in 2027? — 3.1% to 3.5% Economics 6.5% kals 1 $6
Alaska Governor winner? — Shelley Hughes Elections — kals 1 $6
MN-03 House election: Kelly Morrison vote percent — At least 66% Elections 36% kals 1 $6
Spanish general election: Vox vote percent — At least 20% Elections 28% kals 1 $6
Porirua Onepoto General Ward by-election winner? — Caroline Mareko Elections — kals 1 $6
Montana 01 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 320K Elections 18% kals 1 $6
CT-02 House winner? — George Austin Elections 2.1% kals 1 $6
Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner? — SDS Elections — kals 1 $6
Poland general election winner? — Confederation Elections 2.8% kals 1 $6
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent — At least 45% Elections 4.5% kals 1 $6
Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections? — Herman Mashaba Elections — kals 1 $6
Hobart Lord Mayor election winner? — Ryan Posselt Elections 9.5% kals 1 $6
Texas 23 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 340K Elections 4.0% kals 1 $6
Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken? — Reserve President Removed Economics 7.0% kals 1 $6
US headline CPI inflation in December 2032 — Above 3.0% Economics — kals 1 $6
Alabama Senate winner? (2028) — Democratic party Elections 5.2% kals 1 $6
South Carolina Governor margin of victory — Wilson, 22+ pts Elections 6.2% kals 1 $5
Abbotsford mayoral election winner? — Sukhi Dhami Elections — kals 1 $5
Who will be the next DNC Chair? — Shasti Conrad Politics 4.3% kals 1 $5
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent — At least 35% Elections 2.5% kals 1 $5
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026? — Above 0.5% Economics — kals 1 $5
Vermont Governor margin of victory — Republicans, 29+ pts Elections 4.3% kals 1 $5
New Hampshire Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 680K Elections 35% kals 1 $5
Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 6.70M Elections 5.0% kals 1 $5
MO-02 House election: Fred Wellman vote percent — At least 42% Elections 89% kals 1 $5
CA-21 House election: Jim Costa vote percent — At least 60% Elections 32% kals 1 $5
Next French presidential election winner? — François Bayrou Elections 0.1% kals 1 $5
How many Senate and Governor races will Republicans win in Harris states? — At least 6 Elections — kals 1 $5
British Columbia general election winner? — CentreBC Elections — kals 1 $5
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 12% Politics — kals 1 $5
New York 17 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 270K Elections 61% kals 1 $5
Indiana Senate winner? (2028) — Democratic party Elections 8.7% kals 1 $5
OH-09 House election: Derek Merrin vote percent — At least 50% Elections 26% kals 1 $5
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win? — Above 24 Elections 28% kals 1 $5

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