| claim | market | venues | horizons |
traded |
| Connecticut Governor margin of victory — Lamont, 29+ pts
Elections |
6.1% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Arkansas Governor margin of victory — Sanders, 31+ pts
Elections |
3.3% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Nevada Governor: which counties will Aaron Ford win? — Douglas
Elections |
3.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent — At least 26%
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent — At least 28%
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent — At least 30%
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent — At least 32%
Elections |
87% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: which party wins older women? — Republican party
Elections |
7.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| When will Greenland call a snap election? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Elections |
6.0% |
kals |
3 |
$0 |
| Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout — At least 3,150,000
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout — At least 3,300,000
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout — At least 3,450,000
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout — At least 3,600,000
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| California Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percent — At least 42%
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| California Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percent — At least 44%
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| California Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percent — At least 48%
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| California Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percent — At least 58%
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| British Columbia election: NDP number of seats? — 62 or more
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| British Columbia election: NDP number of seats? — 67 or more
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| British Columbia election: NDP number of seats? — 72 or more
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats? — 17 or more
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats? — 22 or more
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats? — 27 or more
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats? — 32 or more
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout — At least 4,950,000
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? — Above 6%
Elections |
92% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Jean Lassalle
Elections |
77% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Closest Governor race in 2026? — South Carolina
Elections |
1.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll? — Above 38%
Elections |
36% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll? — Above 46%
Elections |
5.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29? — Above 28%
Elections |
83% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29? — Above 30%
Elections |
67% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29? — Above 32%
Elections |
50% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29? — Above 34%
Elections |
34% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29? — Above 36%
Elections |
28% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29? — Above 38%
Elections |
22% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29? — Above 42%
Elections |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29? — Above 44%
Elections |
6.0% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote? — Above 28%
Elections |
83% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote? — Above 30%
Elections |
66% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote? — Above 34%
Elections |
43% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote? — Above 36%
Elections |
36% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote? — Above 42%
Elections |
17% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote? — Above 44%
Elections |
13% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote? — Above 46%
Elections |
6.5% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Democratic share of white non-college vote? — Above 30%
Elections |
90% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Democratic share of white non-college vote? — Above 32%
Elections |
77% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Democratic share of white non-college vote? — Above 34%
Elections |
62% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Democratic share of white non-college vote? — Above 36%
Elections |
50% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |
| Midterms: Democratic share of white non-college vote? — Above 38%
Elections |
37% |
kals |
1 |
$0 |