polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22118 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31348 Sports 21381 Crypto 5858 Economics 5674 Financials 3935 Commodities 3442 Politics 2591 Climate and Weather 1756 Entertainment 483 Mentions 242 Science and Technology 197

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
California 19 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 210K Elections 86% kals 1 $712
CPI-U index in October — Above 336.500 Economics 88% kals 1 $712
NH-01 House winner? — Anthony DiLorenzo Elections 5.0% kals 1 $711
KY-01 House election: Drew Williams vote percent — At least 32% Elections 28% kals 1 $711
Wisconsin Senate winner? (2028) — Republican party Elections 38% kals 1 $711
FL-18 House election: Curtis Gibson vote percent — At least 38% Elections 94% kals 1 $710
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — Before Jan 1, 2028 Politics 65% kals 1 $709
Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff) — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% Elections 92% kals 1 $708
PA-02 House election: Brendan Boyle vote percent — At least 76% Elections 26% kals 1 $708
MS-04 House election: Mike Ezell vote percent — At least 70% Elections 22% kals 1 $708
How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 17 Politics 62% kals 1 $707
Ohio State Auditor winner? — Frank LaRose Elections 74% kals 1 $707
SC-02 House election: Dayna Smith vote percent — At least 1% Elections 45% kals 1 $706
Arkansas Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 990K Elections 32% kals 1 $706
Spanish general election winner? — Spanish Socialist Workers' Party Elections 15% kals 1 $706
Germany’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -3.5% of GDP Economics 12% kals 1 $705
Number of Republican governors after the midterms? — At least 23 Elections 59% kals 1 $705
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Smithsonian Women’s History Museum Politics 5.2% kals 1 $704
Kansas Senate election: Adam Hamilton vote percent — At least 46% Elections 64% kals 1 $704
NC-06 House winner? — Cyril Jefferson Elections 9.0% kals 1 $704
Tarrant County Judge winner? — Alisa Simmons Elections 50% kals 1 $703
New York Governor election: Kathy Hochul vote percent — At least 58% Elections 30% kals 1 $703
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4% Elections 45% kals 1 $701
Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout — At least 3,750,000 Elections 92% kals 1 $698
Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 8.5% kals poly 2 $697
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 4th Place — Together Elections 14% kals 1 $696
NJ-04 House election: Chris Smith vote percent — At least 60% Elections 79% kals 1 $695
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $7.20 Economics 3.5% kals 1 $694
Who will Trump pardon? — Ty Garbin Politics 9.3% kals 1 $694
Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029? Elections 22% kals 1 $692
Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado? — Initiative #175 Elections 3.0% kals 1 $692
TN-09 House election: Brent Taylor vote percent — At least 52% Elections 76% kals 1 $692
Alaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (Final Round) — At least 50% Elections 70% kals 1 $691
Tocantins Governor winner? — Professora Dorinha Elections 19% kals 1 $691
Which of these African leaders will leave office next? — Bola Tinubu Politics 13% kals 1 $691
Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 4.40M Elections 80% kals 1 $689
MI-05 House winner? — Christian Vukasovich Elections 5.6% kals 1 $689
MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent — At least 54% Elections — kals 1 $688
NY-07 House election: Melvin Rivera vote percent — At least 18% Elections 94% kals 1 $688
South Carolina Attorney General winner? — David Stumbo Elections 92% kals 1 $687
North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 3.90M Elections 65% kals 1 $687
Wyoming Governor election: Eric Barlow vote percent — At least 68% Elections 28% kals 1 $686
Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats? — 35 or more Elections — kals 1 $686
Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term? — Before 2029 Politics 22% kals 1 $686
How many House seats will Democrats win in Iowa? — 1 Elections 11% kals 1 $686
Arkansas Governor margin of victory — Sanders, 25+ pts Elections 18% kals 1 $685
Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts? — Question 4 Elections 90% kals 1 $684
Northern Mariana Islands Governor winner? — Ralph Torres Elections 45% kals 1 $681
Arkansas Governor election: Sarah Huckabee Sanders vote percent — At least 56% Elections 66% kals 1 $681
US real GDP growth in 2035? — 0.1% to 0.5% Economics 9.0% kals 1 $680

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