polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22130 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31396 Sports 21839 Crypto 5898 Economics 5748 Financials 4089 Commodities 3450 Politics 2561 Climate and Weather 1872 Entertainment 471 Mentions 261 Science and Technology 196

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
TX-15 House election: Bobby Pulido vote percent — At least 48% Elections 94% kals 1 $539
Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado? — Amendment 81 Elections 44% kals 1 $538
Arkansas Governor margin of victory — Sanders, 28+ pts Elections 10% kals 1 $538
Tennessee Governor election: Jerri Green vote percent — At least 36% Elections — kals 1 $537
US real GDP growth in 2027? — 1.6% to 2.0% Economics 12% kals 1 $537
MD-08 House election: Nancy Wallace vote percent — At least 4% Elections 14% kals 1 $537
Michigan State Senate winner? — Republican party Elections 8.5% kals 1 $537
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — David Stras Politics 1.1% kals 1 $537
NY-17 House election: Cait Conley vote percent — At least 48% Elections 64% kals 1 $537
Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? — At least 85% Elections 10% kals 1 $536
How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona? — 3 Elections 5.0% kals 1 $536
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026? — Above 0.1% Economics — kals 1 $536
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — Before Jul 1, 2027 Politics 42% kals 1 $535
NC-12 House winner? — Alma Adams Elections 98% kals 1 $535
TX-23 House election: Katy Padilla Stout vote percent — At least 42% Elections 86% kals 1 $534
Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff) — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥10% Elections 10% kals 1 $534
KY-06 House election: Ralph Alvarado vote percent — At least 54% Elections 9.0% kals 1 $534
TX-20 House winner? — Joaquin Castro Elections 97% kals 1 $533
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Tom Homan Politics 4.9% kals 1 $532
SC-05 House winner? — Mallory Dittmer Elections 7.2% kals 1 $532
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) — Nithya Raman, ≥10% Elections 24% kals 1 $532
Georgia Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 3.9M Elections 69% kals 1 $531
Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 6.0% kals 1 $531
LA-02 House election: Troy Carter vote percent (1st Round) — At least 74% Elections 60% kals 1 $529
IN-03 House winner? — Marlin Stutzman Elections 95% kals 1 $529
Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share? — At least 50% Elections — kals 1 $529
FL-17 House election: Greg Steube vote percent — At least 54% Elections 88% kals 1 $528
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 — Above 3.5% Economics — kals 1 $528
CPI-U index in October — Above 336.600 Economics 92% kals 1 $528
VA-03 House election: Bobby Scott vote percent — At least 72% Elections 62% kals 1 $528
CO-05 House election: Jessica Killin vote percent — At least 44% Elections 71% kals 1 $528
OH-04 House winner? — Jim Jordan Elections 97% kals 1 $527
US headline CPI inflation in December 2031 — Above 3.5% Economics — kals 1 $526
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Mark Milley Politics 5.3% kals 1 $526
Norway rate decision in November — Hike 1-25bps Economics 14% kals 1 $525
What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 10% or above Politics 87% kals 1 $523
CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026? — Exactly 0.1% Economics 19% kals 1 $522
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — Dan Driscoll Politics 13% kals 1 $522
NY-12 House election: Wilneida Negron vote percent — At least 1% Elections 16% kals 1 $522
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — Ron DeSantis Politics 6.0% kals 1 $521
Connecticut Governor margin of victory — Lamont, 20+ pts Elections 56% kals 1 $521
TX-38 House election: Jon Bonck vote percent — At least 52% Elections 79% kals 1 $520
Will Wendy Mitchell win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? Elections 3.2% kals poly 2 $520
120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader? — Steve Scalise Elections 34% kals 1 $519
US gasoline CPI for October — Above 370 Economics 94% kals 1 $519
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty Politics 6.5% kals 1 $519
How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — $900 billion to $1199 billion Politics 0.5% kals 1 $518
FL-23 House winner? — Deborah Adeimy Elections 4.0% kals 1 $517
Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election? — BJP-led NDA Elections 80% kals 1 $517
Maryland State Senate District 2 winner? — Eric Van Buren Elections 5.5% kals 1 $516

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