polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 21970 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31379 Sports 23446 Economics 5545 Crypto 5525 Financials 3599 Commodities 2954 Politics 2685 Climate and Weather 1906 Entertainment 459 Mentions 273 Science and Technology 249

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Alabama Governor margin of victory — Tuberville, 4+ pts Elections 81% kals 1 $137
Mongolian presidential election winner? — Nyam-Osoryn Uchral Elections 0.8% kals 1 $137
Texas Governor election: Gina Hinojosa vote percent — At least 44% Elections 86% kals 1 $137
Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election? — Friedrich Merz Elections 16% kals 1 $137
California Governor election: Xavier Becerra vote percent — At least 60% Elections 59% kals 1 $136
Virginia 10 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 310K Elections 44% kals 1 $136
PA-17 House election: Chris Deluzio vote percent — At least 56% Elections 71% kals 1 $136
Florida 28 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 270K Elections 32% kals 1 $136
New York 17 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 260K Elections 70% kals 1 $136
New Mexico Governor margin of victory — Haaland, 16+ pts Elections 30% kals 1 $136
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 9 Politics 37% kals 1 $136
Iowa State Auditor winner? — Taylor Wettach Elections 25% kals 1 $136
2028 Republican VP nominee — Elon Musk Elections 0.5% kals 1 $135
Idaho Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 710K Elections 22% kals 1 $135
Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028? — Yes Elections 9.8% kals 1 $135
Virginia 05 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 310K Elections 38% kals 1 $135
Florida State House winner? — Democratic party Elections 6.5% kals 1 $135
Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2027? — Yes Politics — kals 1 $135
Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? — Above 18% Elections 3.0% kals 1 $134
Ohio Governor election: Amy Acton vote percent — At least 53% Elections 24% kals 1 $134
Hungary rate decision in October — Cut 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $134
CPI in December — Above 0.9% Economics 4.5% kals 1 $134
Michigan Governor winner? — Mike Duggan Elections 0.1% kals 1 $134
Hawaii Governor margin of victory — Green, 26+ pts Elections 91% kals 1 $134
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026 — Above 2,500 units Economics 4.5% kals 1 $134
FL-19 House winner? — Jim Schwartzel Elections 95% kals 1 $134
North Carolina 01 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 270K Elections 74% kals 1 $134
OH-14 House election: Dave Joyce vote percent — At least 56% Elections 58% kals 1 $134
MA-09 House election: Tyler MacAllister vote percent — At least 34% Elections 80% kals 1 $134
CO-04 House election: Eileen Laubacher vote percent — At least 44% Elections 67% kals 1 $134
AZ-05 House election: Mark Lamb vote percent — At least 52% Elections — kals 1 $134
North Carolina 11 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 310K Elections 68% kals 1 $134
2028 London mayoral election winner? — David Lammy Elections 2.9% kals 1 $134
Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election? — Ofir Katz Elections — kals 1 $134
LA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round) — At least 36% Elections — kals 1 $134
Texas Governor election: Greg Abbott vote percent — At least 46% Elections 68% kals 1 $134
When will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 60% kals 3 $134
OH-14 House winner? — Maria Jukic Elections 2.9% kals 1 $134
How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms? — At least 1 Elections 36% kals 1 $133
Oregon 04 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 380K Elections 32% kals 1 $133
Nevada Governor margin of victory — Lombardo, 8+ pts Elections 7.5% kals 1 $133
NY-16 House election: John Wilson vote percent — At least 4% Elections — kals 1 $133
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? — Exactly 4.3% Economics 8.5% kals 1 $133
Louisiana Senate election: Jamie Davis vote percent — At least 44% Elections 27% kals 1 $132
WA-05 House election: Michael Baumgartner vote percent — At least 52% Elections 65% kals 1 $132
South Carolina 01 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 370K Elections 17% kals 1 $132
California 04 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 200K Elections 80% kals 1 $132
South Carolina Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 2M Elections 28% kals 1 $132
Alaska Senate election: Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. vote percent (1st Round) — At least 3% Elections 65% kals 1 $132
VT-AL House election: Gerald Malloy vote percent — At least 28% Elections 32% kals 1 $132

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