polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22118 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31348 Sports 21395 Crypto 5871 Economics 5674 Financials 3902 Commodities 3418 Politics 2591 Climate and Weather 1728 Entertainment 486 Mentions 242 Science and Technology 196

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Kenyan National Assembly winner? — Coalition including ODM Elections 48% kals 1 $727
Which ballot measures will pass in Maryland? — Question 3 Elections 66% kals 1 $727
Arizona State House winner? — Democratic party Elections 66% kals 1 $726
GA-04 House winner? — Hank Johnson Elections 98% kals 1 $725
New York Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 5.8M Elections 60% kals 1 $724
Who will Trump pardon? — Brian Cole Jr. Politics 14% kals 1 $724
How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona? — 4 Elections 19% kals 1 $724
Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 1.36M Elections 62% kals 1 $723
Fed decision in Jun 2027? — Hike 25bps Economics 30% kals 1 $723
Will Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 2.1% kals poly 2 $722
OH-11 House election: Mike Kirchner vote percent — At least 16% Elections 69% kals 1 $722
OH-08 House election: Warren Davidson vote percent — At least 52% Elections 74% kals 1 $721
Denton County Judge winner? — Nick Pappas Elections 9.0% kals 1 $721
CPI in December — Above 0.8% Economics 5.5% kals 1 $720
Schleswig-Holstein state election winner? — AfD Elections 16% kals 1 $720
IL-13 House election: Nikki Budzinski vote percent — At least 58% Elections 82% kals 1 $720
FL-08 House election: Jennifer Jenkins vote percent — At least 40% Elections 78% kals 1 $720
US real GDP growth in 2027? — 0.0% or Below Economics 12% kals 1 $719
North Carolina Senate election: Roy Cooper vote percent — At least 52% Elections 58% kals 1 $718
Vermont Lieutenant Governor winner? — John S. Rodgers Elections 9.0% kals 1 $718
NC-07 House winner? — Kim Hardy Elections 12% kals 1 $718
British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats? — 52 or more Elections — kals 1 $718
MN-05 House election: Ilhan Omar vote percent — At least 82% Elections 14% kals 1 $718
Wisconsin State Assembly winner? — Democratic party Elections 60% kals 1 $718
Will Mary Duniam win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election? Elections 2.9% kals poly 2 $717
Connecticut Governor election: Ryan Fazio vote percent — At least 32% Elections — kals 1 $717
Alabama Governor election: Doug Jones vote percent — At least 44% Elections 60% kals 1 $715
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? — At least 7 Elections 38% kals 1 $715
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional) — Above 217 Elections 90% kals 1 $714
Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? — Before Jul 1, 2027 Politics 11% kals 1 $714
Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii? — Before Nov 1, 2026 Politics 11% kals 1 $714
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election? — Chris Hipkins Elections 44% kals 1 $713
US real GDP growth in 2035? — 5.6% to 6.0% Economics 4.0% kals 1 $713
California 19 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 210K Elections 86% kals 1 $712
NH-01 House winner? — Anthony DiLorenzo Elections 5.0% kals 1 $711
KY-01 House election: Drew Williams vote percent — At least 32% Elections 28% kals 1 $711
Wisconsin Senate winner? (2028) — Republican party Elections 38% kals 1 $711
British Columbia general election: 2nd place — BC NDP Elections 70% kals 1 $710
FL-18 House election: Curtis Gibson vote percent — At least 38% Elections 94% kals 1 $710
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — Before Jan 1, 2028 Politics 66% kals 1 $709
Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff) — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% Elections 92% kals 1 $708
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress? — Jim Jordan Elections 30% kals 1 $708
PA-02 House election: Brendan Boyle vote percent — At least 76% Elections 26% kals 1 $708
MS-04 House election: Mike Ezell vote percent — At least 70% Elections 22% kals 1 $708
How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 17 Politics 62% kals 1 $707
Ohio State Auditor winner? — Frank LaRose Elections 75% kals 1 $707
SC-02 House election: Dayna Smith vote percent — At least 1% Elections 45% kals 1 $706
Arkansas Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 990K Elections 31% kals 1 $706
Spanish general election winner? — Spanish Socialist Workers' Party Elections 15% kals 1 $706
Germany’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -3.5% of GDP Economics 12% kals 1 $705

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