polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1357 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24634 Crypto 5404 Economics 5393 Commodities 2903 Politics 2616 Financials 2447 Climate and Weather 1640 Entertainment 468 Science and Technology 215 Mentions 144

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
US nominal GDP growth in 2036 — Above 5.5% Economics 36% kals 1 $126
US headline CPI inflation in December 2031 — Above 5.0% Economics — kals 1 $124
CPI core in November 2026 — Above 0.8% Economics 1.5% kals 1 $122
US real GDP growth in 2032? — 4.1% to 4.5% Economics 6.5% kals 1 $121
CPI core year-over-year in Sep 2026? — Exactly 2.3% Economics — kals 1 $116
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? — Exactly 4.0% Economics 7.0% kals 1 $113
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? — Exactly 4.6% Economics — kals 1 $112
CPI-U index in September — Above 336.600 Economics — kals 1 $112
Bank of England rate decision in December — Hike more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $111
US real GDP growth in 2027? — 0.1% to 0.5% Economics 8.0% kals 1 $111
Brazil unemployment rate in September — Above 5.4% Economics — kals 1 $110
Bank of Mexico rate decision in November — Hike 50bps Economics — kals 1 $110
Bank Indonesia rate decision in October — Maintain current rate Economics 54% kals 1 $109
Sweden rate decision in November — Maintain current rate Economics — kals 1 $108
Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting? — Above 4.75% Economics — kals 8 $107
US nominal GDP growth in 2036 — Above 6.0% Economics 30% kals 1 $107
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026? — Exactly 4.3% Economics — kals 1 $106
US tariff revenue for 2026 — Above $100‎ billion Economics — kals 1 $106
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026? — Above 0.3% Economics 12% kals 1 $105
US headline CPI inflation in December 2034 — Above 4.0% Economics — kals 1 $104
US real GDP growth in 2036? — 4.1% to 4.5% Economics 3.0% kals 1 $103
Colombia rate decision in October — Cut more than 25bps Economics 3.0% kals 1 $101
Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026 — Above 1.0% Economics 38% kals 2 $101
CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? — Exactly 3.9% Economics — kals 1 $100
US unemployment rate at year-end 2031 — Above 10.0% Economics 7.0% kals 1 $99
US real GDP growth in 2030? — 0.6% to 1.0% Economics 8.0% kals 1 $99
US used cars and trucks CPI for September — Above 183 Economics — kals 1 $98
CPI-U index in September — Above 336.550 Economics — kals 1 $98
Mexico unemployment rate in September — Above 2.6% Economics 94% kals 1 $97
CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 — Exactly 3.8% Economics 6.5% kals 1 $97
CPI-U index in September — Above 335.700 Economics — kals 1 $96
CPI core in November 2026 — Above 0.5% Economics 1.5% kals 1 $95
How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026? — Above 0.3% Economics 9.5% kals 1 $95
CPI-U index in September — Above 335.650 Economics — kals 1 $94
September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core — Headline: 0.2% or below, Core: 0.3% or above Economics — kals 1 $94
September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core — Headline: 0.2% or below, Core: 0.1% or below Economics — kals 1 $94
Hungary rate decision in October — Hike more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $93
Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026 — Above 1.5% Economics 22% kals 2 $92
Mexico unemployment rate in September — Above 2.7% Economics 76% kals 1 $91
Brazil unemployment rate in September — Above 5.1% Economics — kals 1 $90
Bank of Mexico rate decision in November — Cut 50bps Economics — kals 1 $89
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.1% Economics — kals 1 $89
September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core — Headline: 0.2% or below, Core: Exactly 0.2% Economics — kals 1 $89
Colombia rate decision in October — Cut 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $88
China’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -9.5% of GDP Economics 96% kals 1 $87
Hungary rate decision in October — Hike 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $87
US real GDP growth in 2030? — 1.1% to 1.5% Economics 7.5% kals 1 $87
US real GDP growth in 2034? — 0.1% to 0.5% Economics 4.0% kals 1 $86
CPI year-over-year in Nov 2026? — Exactly 3.5% Economics 8.5% kals 1 $86
Japan’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -2.5% of GDP Economics 89% kals 1 $85

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