| claim | market | venues | horizons |
traded |
| Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts? — Question 7
Elections |
82% |
kals |
1 |
$103 |
| SC-01 House election: Margo Ellis vote percent — At least 2%
Elections |
3.5% |
kals |
1 |
$103 |
| Delaware Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 440K
Elections |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$103 |
| Spanish general election: margin of victory — People's Party, 9-12%
Elections |
10% |
kals |
1 |
$103 |
| New York Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 6.6M
Elections |
30% |
kals |
1 |
$103 |
| Oregon 06 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 340K
Elections |
24% |
kals |
1 |
$103 |
| Tennessee Senate election: Marquita Bradshaw vote percent — At least 40%
Elections |
36% |
kals |
1 |
$103 |
| Will a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law? — Before Jan 4, 2027
Politics |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$103 |
| Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? — Above 14%
Elections |
5.0% |
kals |
1 |
$103 |
| UT-04 House election: Steven Burt vote percent — At least 4%
Elections |
28% |
kals |
1 |
$102 |
| TX-03 House election: Keith Self vote percent — At least 56%
Elections |
50% |
kals |
1 |
$102 |
| CA-18 House winner? — Shane Lewis
Elections |
1.9% |
kals |
1 |
$102 |
| Arkansas Governor margin of victory — Sanders, 22+ pts
Elections |
16% |
kals |
1 |
$102 |
| South Dakota Governor margin of victory — Rhoden, 24+ pts
Elections |
26% |
kals |
1 |
$102 |
| Washington Senate winner? (2028) — Republican party
Elections |
5.9% |
kals |
1 |
$102 |
| Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Jared Kushner
Elections |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$102 |
| Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? — Texas
Elections |
3.6% |
kals |
1 |
$102 |
| CO-04 House election: Wayne Thornton vote percent — At least 6%
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$102 |
| Sara Duterte out as Vice President of the Philippines? — Before Sep 1, 2026
Politics |
— |
kals |
1 |
$102 |
| Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 1.56M
Elections |
28% |
kals |
1 |
$102 |
| How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida? — 5
Elections |
9.0% |
kals |
1 |
$101 |
| Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Spencer Pratt
Elections |
16% |
kals |
1 |
$101 |
| CO-04 House election: Wayne Thornton vote percent — At least 5%
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$101 |
| Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election? — Ron Dermer
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$101 |
| Florida Senate election: Angie Nixon vote percent — At least 42%
Elections |
90% |
kals |
1 |
$101 |
| KY-04 House election: Ed Gallrein vote percent — At least 56%
Elections |
88% |
kals |
1 |
$101 |
| MO-05 House election: Emanuel Cleaver vote percent — At least 62%
Elections |
56% |
kals |
1 |
$101 |
| Maine Governor winner? — Rick Bennett
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$101 |
| Ljubljana mayoral election winner? — Apolonija Simon
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$101 |
| When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Politics |
66% |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| Minnesota Senate election: Michele Tafoya vote percent — At least 46%
Elections |
36% |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| NY-21 House election: Blake Gendebien vote percent — At least 44%
Elections |
68% |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff) — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥13%
Elections |
4.5% |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| Oklahoma Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 1.38M
Elections |
23% |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress? — Joe Neguse
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress? — Ted Lieu
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election winner? — Erwin Wiens
Elections |
57% |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo — Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Republicans
Elections |
11% |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| Massachusetts 07 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 210K
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| California 07 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 210K
Elections |
64% |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| California 26 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 230K
Elections |
52% |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| IL-03 House election: Delia Ramirez vote percent — At least 80%
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| AR-04 House election: James Russell vote percent — At least 32%
Elections |
50% |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| LA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round) — At least 10%
Elections |
18% |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| Midterms: Democratic share of 2024 Trump voters? — Above 8%
Elections |
47% |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| Alaska Governor margin of victory — Democrats, 11+ pts
Elections |
26% |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| Massachusetts 07 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 150K
Elections |
55% |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| New Jersey Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 2.70M
Elections |
48% |
kals |
1 |
$100 |
| U.S. Virgin Islands Governor winner? — Gustav James
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$99 |
| Which of these African leaders will leave office next? — Emmerson Mnangagwa
Politics |
1.6% |
kals |
1 |
$99 |