| claim | market | venues | horizons |
traded |
|---|
| Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout — At least 125,000,000
Elections |
44% |
kals |
1 |
$3.9k |
| Poland rate decision in November — Maintain current rate
Economics |
72% |
kals |
1 |
$3.9k |
| Who will Trump pardon? — Pete Hegseth
Politics |
56% |
kals |
1 |
$3.9k |
| Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 15+ pts
Elections |
5.0% |
kals |
1 |
$3.9k |
| Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? — Stephen Miran
Politics |
6.6% |
kals |
1 |
$3.9k |
| MD-08 House election: Jamie Raskin vote percent — At least 78%
Elections |
78% |
kals |
1 |
$3.9k |
| California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No) — No, ≥1%
Elections |
— |
kals |
1 |
$3.9k |
| Diesel price on Election Day — Above $6.40
Economics |
54% |
kals |
1 |
$3.9k |
| GA-08 House winner? — Austin Scott
Elections |
98% |
kals |
1 |
$3.9k |
| Alaska Senate election margin of victory — Dan Sullivan, 0-3%
Elections |
18% |
kals |
1 |
$3.9k |
| TX-22 House winner? — Trever Nehls
Elections |
95% |
kals |
1 |
$3.9k |
| Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent? — Before 2027
Politics |
5.3% |
kals |
1 |
$3.9k |
| How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 54
Elections |
2.5% |
kals |
1 |
$3.9k |
| Wisconsin Governor election: Tom Tiffany vote percent — At least 50%
Elections |
74% |
kals |
1 |
$3.9k |
| Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
Politics |
35% |
kals |
3 |
$3.9k |
| New York Governor margin of victory — Hochul, 13+ pts
Elections |
50% |
kals |
1 |
$3.9k |
| 2028 Democratic VP nominee — Raphael Warnock
Elections |
3.2% |
kals |
1 |
$3.9k |
| CA-24 House winner? — Salud Carbajal
Elections |
98% |
kals |
1 |
$3.8k |
| Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 9+ pts
Elections |
23% |
kals |
1 |
$3.8k |
| TX-30 House election: Everett Jackson vote percent — At least 16%
Elections |
90% |
kals |
1 |
$3.8k |
| Texas Attorney General winner? — Mayes Middleton
Elections |
72% |
kals |
1 |
$3.8k |
| Iowa Attorney General winner? — Nate Willems
Elections |
44% |
kals |
1 |
$3.8k |
| Will a UK social media ban take effect by June 30, 2027?
Politics |
10% |
kals poly |
4 |
$3.8k |
| Kentucky Senate winner? — Charles Booker
Elections |
3.9% |
kals |
1 |
$3.8k |
| TX-01 House winner? — Nathaniel Moran
Elections |
97% |
kals |
1 |
$3.8k |
| US real GDP growth in 2026? — 2.6% to 3.0%
Economics |
14% |
kals |
1 |
$3.8k |
| Diesel price on Election Day — Above $5.80
Economics |
88% |
kals |
1 |
$3.8k |
| Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026 — Above 2,000 units
Economics |
24% |
kals |
1 |
$3.8k |
| Texas Governor-Senate combo — Gina Hinojosa and James Talarico win
Elections |
20% |
kals |
1 |
$3.8k |
| Arizona Governor margin of victory — Hobbs, 8+ pts
Elections |
44% |
kals |
1 |
$3.8k |
| Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 — Exactly 2.25%
Economics |
38% |
kals |
1 |
$3.8k |
| Will Angela Eagle be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Politics |
1.9% |
kals poly |
2 |
$3.7k |
| What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026? — Roybal v. Griffith
Politics |
62% |
kals |
1 |
$3.7k |
| Guam Governor winner? — Tony Ada
Elections |
20% |
kals |
1 |
$3.7k |
| Nevada Governor: which counties will Aaron Ford win? — Clark
Elections |
84% |
kals |
1 |
$3.7k |
| CA-41 House election: Linda Sánchez vote percent — At least 56%
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$3.7k |
| Which referendum questions will pass in Alberta? — Question 5
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$3.7k |
| VA-08 House election: Don Beyer vote percent — At least 78%
Elections |
54% |
kals |
1 |
$3.7k |
| How many House seats will Democrats win in Georgia? — 5
Elections |
92% |
kals |
1 |
$3.7k |
| Chicago Mayor winner? — Brandon Johnson
Elections |
17% |
kals |
1 |
$3.7k |
| CPI month-over-month in Sep 2026? — Exactly 0.5%
Economics |
28% |
kals |
1 |
$3.7k |
| Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 190
Politics |
53% |
kals |
1 |
$3.7k |
| Georgia Governor margin of victory — Jackson, 2+ pts
Elections |
42% |
kals |
1 |
$3.6k |
| MI-13 House election: Donavan McKinney vote percent — At least 68%
Elections |
90% |
kals |
1 |
$3.6k |
| Florida Senate election: Ashley Moody vote percent — At least 52%
Elections |
79% |
kals |
1 |
$3.6k |
| Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026 — Above 1,100 units
Economics |
98% |
kals |
1 |
$3.6k |
| How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 198
Elections |
54% |
kals |
1 |
$3.6k |
| CA-14 House winner? — Melissa Hernandez
Elections |
12% |
kals |
1 |
$3.6k |
| Which ballot measures will pass in New Mexico? — Library Bond
Elections |
90% |
kals |
1 |
$3.6k |
| WI-05 House winner? — Scott Fitzgerald
Elections |
96% |
kals |
1 |
$3.6k |