polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22104 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31351 Sports 20539 Crypto 5608 Economics 5502 Financials 3151 Commodities 3144 Politics 2616 Climate and Weather 1703 Entertainment 475 Science and Technology 237 Mentions 197

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Politics 1.7% kals poly 2 $8.1k
US real GDP growth in Q1 2027? — Above 3.5% Economics 17% kals 2 $8.1k
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? — Gadi Eisenkot Elections 55% kals 1 $8.0k
VA-04 House winner? — Jennifer McClellan Elections 98% kals 1 $8.0k
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026 — Above 87.5 TWh Economics 96% kals 1 $8.0k
IA-01 House winner? — Mariannette Miller-Meeks Elections 9.4% kals 1 $8.0k
Which party will win the next UK general election? — Labour party Elections 35% kals 1 $8.0k
AZ-06 House winner? — JoAnna Mendoza Elections 82% kals 1 $8.0k
Georgian parliamentary election winner? — Georgian Dream – Democratic Georgia Elections 87% kals 1 $7.9k
Which party will win the next UK general election? — Conservative party Elections 27% kals 1 $7.9k
US government budget balance in 2026 — Above -8.5% of GDP Economics 64% kals 1 $7.9k
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 30 Politics 12% kals 1 $7.9k
Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader? — Before Jan 1, Politics 37% kals 1 $7.9k
Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — At least 24% Elections 85% kals 1 $7.9k
Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona? — Proposition 317 Elections 79% kals 1 $7.9k
Denton County Judge winner? — Andy Eads Elections 90% kals 1 $7.9k
Texas Governor-Senate combo — Greg Abbott and James Talarico win Elections 46% kals 1 $7.9k
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Friedrich Merz Politics 6.5% kals 1 $7.9k
Illinois Attorney General winner? — Kwame Raoul Elections 97% kals 1 $7.8k
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.4% Economics 92% kals 1 $7.8k
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? — Jérôme Guedj Elections 4.0% kals poly 3 $7.8k
Iowa Governor margin of victory — Sand, 6+ pts Elections 54% kals 1 $7.8k
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 53 Elections 4.5% kals 1 $7.8k
Texas Governor-Senate combo — Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win Elections 38% kals 1 $7.8k
2028 Democratic VP nominee — Andy Beshear Elections 5.7% kals 1 $7.8k
Louisville Mayor Election winner? — Craig Greenberg Elections 92% kals 1 $7.8k
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Nikki Haley Elections 0.4% kals 1 $7.8k
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Sarah Huckabee Sanders Elections 0.7% kals 1 $7.8k
FL-05 House winner? — John Rutherford Elections 93% kals 1 $7.7k
How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 14 Politics 90% kals 1 $7.7k
Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout — At least 123,000,000 Elections 93% kals 1 $7.7k
AZ-04 House winner? — Greg Stanton Elections 94% kals 1 $7.7k
New Taipei mayoral election winner? — Su Chiao-hui Elections 55% kals 1 $7.7k
NY-19 House winner? — Josh Riley Elections 98% kals 1 $7.7k
Idaho Senate winner? — Todd Achilles Elections 5.5% kals 1 $7.7k
Delaware Senate winner? — Democratic party Elections 98% kals 1 $7.7k
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Thomas Massie Elections 48% kals 1 $7.6k
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.6% Economics 78% kals 1 $7.6k
Next French presidential election winner? — David Lisnard Elections 12% kals 1 $7.6k
Colorado Secretary of State winner? — Amanda Gonzalez Elections 94% kals 1 $7.6k
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.7% Economics — kals 1 $7.6k
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional) — Democrats, ≥6% Elections 84% kals 1 $7.5k
Alabama Governor winner? — Doug Jones Elections 7.3% kals 1 $7.5k
Spanish general election: Vox vote percent — At least 15% Elections 92% kals 1 $7.5k
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — No other person Politics 45% kals 1 $7.5k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 1.00% Economics 94% kals 8 $7.5k
UT-01 House winner? — Ben McAdams Elections 97% kals 1 $7.5k
2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate? — D-House, R-Senate, D-President Elections 7.5% kals 1 $7.5k
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority? — Before Nov 6 Elections 89% kals 5 $7.4k
Argentina presidential election: first round winner? — Javier Milei Elections 62% kals 1 $7.4k

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