polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22101 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31353 Sports 18281 Crypto 5580 Economics 5548 Commodities 3261 Financials 3243 Politics 2613 Climate and Weather 1657 Entertainment 465 Science and Technology 232 Mentions 214

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 214 Politics 97% kals 1 $3.6k
Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho? — Reproductive Freedom and Privacy Act Elections 12% kals 1 $3.6k
US real GDP growth in 2033? — 2.1% to 2.5% Economics 10% kals 1 $3.6k
Georgia State House winner? — Republican party Elections 68% kals 1 $3.6k
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 4.0% Economics 20% kals 1 $3.6k
France’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -6.5% of GDP Economics 96% kals 1 $3.6k
Tallahassee Mayoral Election — Jeremy Matlow Elections 48% kals 1 $3.6k
Who will Trump pardon in 2026? — John Kiriakou Politics 9.6% kals 1 $3.6k
Fed decision in Oct 2027? — Hike 25bps Economics 20% kals 1 $3.6k
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 6 Politics 22% kals 1 $3.6k
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? — Yes Politics 9.0% kals 1 $3.6k
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 210 Politics 98% kals 1 $3.6k
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Abigail Spanberger Elections 20% kals 1 $3.6k
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — Howard Lutnick Politics 12% kals poly 2 $3.6k
Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? — At least 75% Elections 52% kals 1 $3.6k
MN-07 House election: Michelle Fischbach vote percent — At least 60% Elections 88% kals 1 $3.5k
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3% Elections 22% kals 1 $3.5k
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? — Jared Polis Elections 37% kals 1 $3.5k
How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — $300 billion to $599 billion Politics 2.1% kals 1 $3.5k
TX-28 House election: Henry Cuellar vote percent — At least 48% Elections 88% kals 1 $3.5k
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 14 to 16% Politics 3.0% kals 1 $3.5k
Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? — Texas, Alaska, Ohio Elections 20% kals 1 $3.5k
How many House seats will Democrats win in Alabama? — 1 Elections 74% kals 1 $3.5k
2028 Democratic VP nominee — Josh Shapiro Elections 3.1% kals 1 $3.5k
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm? — 3 Politics 3.4% kals 1 $3.5k
MO-04 House winner? — Mark Alford Elections 96% kals 1 $3.5k
Michigan Governor-Senate combo — Jocelyn Benson and Mike Rogers win Elections 26% kals 1 $3.5k
Iowa Governor margin of victory — Sand, 9+ pts Elections 32% kals 1 $3.5k
How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — $10 billion to $99 billion Politics 1.9% kals 1 $3.4k
Which ballot measures will pass in Maryland? — Question 2 Elections 76% kals 1 $3.4k
How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 15 Politics 84% kals 1 $3.4k
NC-04 House election: Max Ganorkar vote percent — At least 20% Elections 74% kals 1 $3.4k
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Chris Van Hollen Elections — kals 1 $3.4k
Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won — PL Elections 94% kals 1 $3.4k
New York State Senate winner? — Democratic party Elections 98% kals 1 $3.4k
MD-08 House election: Nancy Wallace vote percent — At least 1% Elections 94% kals 1 $3.4k
Colorado State House winner? — Democratic party Elections 98% kals 1 $3.4k
When will Ukraine hold a presidential election? — Before 2027 Elections 6.5% kals 4 $3.4k
Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout — At least 4,050,000 Elections — kals 1 $3.4k
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Gregory Bovino Elections 20% kals 1 $3.4k
US real GDP growth in 2035? — 2.1% to 2.5% Economics 11% kals 1 $3.4k
Nebraska Governor winner? — Lynne Walz Elections 10% kals 1 $3.4k
IN-05 House winner? — J.D. Ford Elections 16% kals 1 $3.4k
OH-14 House winner? — David Joyce Elections 96% kals 1 $3.4k
Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout — Above 10.60M Elections 52% kals 1 $3.4k
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Cassidy Hutchinson Politics 31% kals 1 $3.4k
MD-04 House election: George McDermott vote percent — At least 4% Elections — kals 1 $3.4k
California Governor General Election: voter turnout — Above 13.1M Elections 32% kals 1 $3.4k
Which ballot measures will pass in New Mexico? — Senior Citizen Facilities Bond Elections 96% kals 1 $3.3k
Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona? — Proposition 144 Elections — kals 1 $3.3k

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