polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22107 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31310 Sports 21279 Economics 5796 Crypto 5695 Financials 3815 Commodities 3396 Politics 2618 Climate and Weather 1738 Entertainment 487 Mentions 239 Science and Technology 196

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Jacob Frey Politics 6.0% kals 1 $940
Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff) — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4% Elections 86% kals 1 $940
Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round) — At least 48% Elections 67% kals 1 $939
When will Big Bend border construction resume? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 14% kals 3 $939
Oregon Governor election: Tina Kotek vote percent — At least 46% Elections 89% kals 1 $937
Will Rose Diamond win the next Launceston mayoral election? Elections 0.6% kals poly 2 $936
NY-21 House election: Blake Gendebien vote percent — At least 38% Elections — kals 1 $935
Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner? — Josh McLaurin Elections 50% kals 1 $933
NJ-01 House winner? — Donald Norcross Elections 97% kals 1 $933
Jacob Frey out as Mayor of Minneapolis? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 5.0% kals 1 $933
How many House seats will Democrats win in Michigan? — 6 Elections 14% kals 1 $932
Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken? — Reserve President Rejected Economics 13% kals 1 $931
AL-05 House election: Dale Strong vote percent — At least 56% Elections 88% kals 1 $931
South Carolina Governor winner? — Jermaine Johnson Elections 5.1% kals 1 $929
CA-50 House winner? — Scott Peters Elections 97% kals 1 $929
HI-02 House election: Brenton Awa vote percent — At least 32% Elections 66% kals 1 $928
How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026? — At least 14 Politics 68% kals 1 $924
TN-01 House election: Kristi Burke vote percent — At least 20% Elections — kals 1 $924
Alabama Governor election: Doug Jones vote percent — At least 50% Elections 90% kals 1 $924
Midterms: which party wins white women? — Democratic party Elections 70% kals 1 $923
Alaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (Final Round) — At least 46% Elections 98% kals 1 $922
Who will Trump pardon? — Pam Bondi Politics 38% kals 1 $922
CPI year-over-year in Nov 2026? — Exactly 3.2% Economics — kals 1 $921
Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona? — Proposition 318 Elections 64% kals 1 $920
Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? — Tie Elections 10% kals 1 $920
CPI-U index in September — Above 336.400 Economics — kals 1 $920
TX-12 House election: Craig Goldman vote percent — At least 56% Elections 65% kals 1 $920
HI-02 House election: Brenton Awa vote percent — At least 30% Elections 84% kals 1 $919
2028 Republican presidential nominee — John Thune Elections 0.1% kals 1 $918
2028 Democratic VP nominee — Zohran Mamdani Elections — kals 1 $917
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 10% kals 1 $915
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) — Nithya Raman, ≥4% Elections 48% kals 1 $915
Minnesota State Senate winner? — Republican party Elections 10% kals 1 $915
Arizona Governor: which counties will Katie Hobbs win? — Yuma Elections 23% kals 1 $914
Pennsylvania Senate winner? (2028) — Republican party Elections 24% kals 1 $914
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? — Kevin Hassett Politics 6.3% kals 1 $914
Midterms: which issue matters most to voters? — Iran war and foreign policy Elections 5.5% kals 1 $914
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday Politics 1.4% kals 1 $914
MD-08 House election: Jamie Raskin vote percent — At least 76% Elections 88% kals 1 $913
Midterms: which party wins young men? — Democratic party Elections 85% kals 1 $913
US government budget balance in 2026 — Above -7.0% of GDP Economics 9.0% kals 1 $912
IL-11 House election: Jeffrey Walter vote percent — At least 36% Elections 48% kals 1 $912
When will a farm bill become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 19% kals 3 $911
Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place? — Nationals Elections 12% kals 1 $911
Alaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (1st Round) — At least 50% Elections 40% kals 1 $910
OH-07 House election: Brian Poindexter vote percent — At least 52% Elections 56% kals 1 $910
AR-02 House election: Chris Jones vote percent — At least 44% Elections 76% kals 1 $910
US headline CPI inflation in December 2036 — Above 0.5% Economics — kals 1 $909
Pennsylvania Governor election: Stacy Garrity vote percent — At least 38% Elections 32% kals 1 $909
Illinois Governor election: JB Pritzker vote percent — At least 52% Elections — kals 1 $909

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