polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 22152 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31379 Sports 21160 Economics 5637 Crypto 5456 Financials 4001 Commodities 3328 Politics 2679 Climate and Weather 1783 Entertainment 437 Science and Technology 253 Mentions 220

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
NY-01 House election: Chris Gallant vote percent — At least 46% Elections 36% kals 1 $233
Georgia Senate election: Jon Ossoff vote percent (1st Round) — At least 52% Elections 75% kals 1 $233
Iowa Governor election: Zach Lahn vote percent — At least 40% Elections — kals 1 $232
Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent — At least 48% Elections 51% kals 1 $232
MD-04 House election: Glenn Ivey vote percent — At least 94% Elections 6.0% kals 1 $231
TX-21 House winner? — Kristin Hook Elections 4.0% kals 1 $231
IA-04 House winner? — Dave Dawson Elections 2.8% kals 1 $231
Italian Senate election winner? — Brothers of Italy Elections 56% kals 1 $231
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) — Nithya Raman, ≥8% Elections 28% kals 1 $230
Japan’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -3.0% of GDP Economics 93% kals 1 $230
FL-26 House election: Mario Díaz-Balart vote percent — At least 58% Elections 16% kals 1 $230
Wisconsin 02 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 380K Elections 18% kals 1 $230
GA-14 House election: Shawn Harris vote percent (1st Round) — At least 40% Elections 55% kals 1 $230
PA-17 House winner? — Tony Guy Elections 1.9% kals 1 $229
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — Ra'am Elections — kals 1 $229
Who will be Israeli finance minister after the election? — Naftali Bennett Elections — kals 1 $229
New Mexico Senate election: Larry Marker vote percent — At least 38% Elections 58% kals 1 $228
TX-15 House election: Bobby Pulido vote percent — At least 56% Elections 14% kals 1 $228
Will the Kids Online Safety Act become law? — Before 2027 Politics 11% kals 1 $228
New Jersey 02 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 230K Elections 58% kals 1 $228
FL-11 House election: Joe Strada vote percent — At least 58% Elections 21% kals 1 $228
Who will Trump pardon in 2026? — Charlie Javice Politics 3.5% kals 1 $228
New York Governor election: Bruce Blakeman vote percent — At least 46% Elections 16% kals 1 $228
NY-17 House election: Mike Lawler vote percent — At least 52% Elections 16% kals 1 $228
TX-20 House election: Joaquin Castro vote percent — At least 70% Elections 47% kals 1 $227
Idaho Senate election: Jim Risch vote percent — At least 54% Elections 54% kals 1 $227
How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026? — Exactly 2 Politics 16% kals 1 $227
LA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round) — At least 32% Elections — kals 1 $227
NY-12 House election: Robb Huhn vote percent — At least 1% Elections 8.0% kals 1 $227
When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 11% kals 1 $226
Closest Governor race in 2026? — Iowa Elections 2.9% kals 1 $226
South Carolina Governor margin of victory — Wilson, 10+ pts Elections 62% kals 1 $226
2028 Democratic VP nominee — Chris Murphy Elections — kals 1 $226
Which November Swiss referendums will pass? — AHV VAT financing Elections 22% kals 1 $226
CPI-U index in October — Above 335.500 Economics 96% kals 1 $226
US real GDP growth in 2029? — 2.6% to 3.0% Economics 10% kals 1 $225
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU? — Hungary Elections 7.4% kals 1 $225
Idaho Senate election: Todd Achilles vote percent — At least 42% Elections 21% kals 1 $225
NY-13 House election: Bob Cohen vote percent — At least 2% Elections 5.0% kals 1 $225
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? — Juan Guaidó Elections 1.7% kals 1 $225
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 234 Elections — kals 1 $225
Tlaxcala Governor winner? — Alfonso Sánchez García Elections 8.0% kals 1 $224
US headline CPI inflation in December 2030 — Above 4.5% Economics — kals 1 $224
California 26 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 220K Elections 62% kals 1 $224
New Jersey 04 House General Election: voter turnout — Above 240K Elections 55% kals 1 $224
MD-04 House election: Glenn Ivey vote percent — At least 88% Elections 59% kals 1 $224
AL-04 House election: Robert Aderholt vote percent — At least 80% Elections 65% kals 1 $224
Maryland Governor election: Wes Moore vote percent — At least 64% Elections 65% kals 1 $224
NV-04 House election: Cody Whipple vote percent — At least 48% Elections 10% kals 1 $224
German presidential election winner? — Ilse Aigner Elections 50% kals 1 $224

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