polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 30 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24566 Economics 5477 Crypto 5320 Politics 2624 Commodities 2479 Financials 2273 Climate and Weather 1640 Entertainment 468 Science and Technology 266 Mentions 143

Hiding by default — is over half the contracts on both venues and buries everything else.

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
European Central Bank rate decision in October — Maintain current rate Economics 92% kals 1 $15.6k
Headline PCE inflation in September — Above 0.1% Economics — kals 1 $6.5k
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 8% Politics 71% kals 1 $2.7k
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 7% Politics 76% kals 1 $1.6k
European Central Bank rate decision in October — Hike 1-25bps Economics 8.5% kals 1 $1.5k
Headline PCE inflation in September — Above 0.2% Economics 90% kals 1 $1.4k
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026? — Above 0.1% Economics 86% kals 1 $543
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 4% Politics 82% kals 1 $358
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026? — Above 0.2% Economics 50% kals 1 $347
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 10% Politics 11% kals 1 $280
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 9% Politics 19% kals 1 $246
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 3% Politics 85% kals 1 $229
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 5% Politics 83% kals 1 $168
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 6% Politics 83% kals 1 $165
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 11% Politics 4.0% kals 1 $131
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026? — Above 0.3% Economics 12% kals 1 $105
Headline PCE inflation in September — Above 0.4% Economics 52% kals 1 $46
Headline PCE inflation in September — Above 0.3% Economics 89% kals 1 $44
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026? — Above 0.4% Economics — kals 1 $32
European Central Bank rate decision in October — Cut 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $23
Will the UK raise taxes in the October Budget? — Yes Politics 88% kals 1 $20
Headline PCE inflation in September — Above 0.5% Economics 16% kals 1 $19
European Central Bank rate decision in October — Cut more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $10
European Central Bank rate decision in October — Hike more than 25bps Economics — kals 1 $7
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 12% Politics 3.5% kals 1 $5
Headline PCE inflation in September — Above 0.7% Economics 1.5% kals 1 $1
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026? — Above 0.6% Economics — kals 1 $1
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026? — Above 0.5% Economics — kals 1 $1
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026 — Above 13% Politics 3.5% kals 1 $0
Headline PCE inflation in September — Above 0.6% Economics 6.5% kals 1 $0