polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1357 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24711 Crypto 5429 Economics 5412 Politics 2636 Commodities 2571 Financials 2319 Climate and Weather 1654 Entertainment 464 Science and Technology 219 Mentions 144

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 0.25% Economics 96% kals 8 $4.3k
US gas prices on Election Day — Above 4.50 Economics 16% kals 1 $4.2k
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting? — Above 0.00% Economics 93% kals 8 $4.2k
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.0% Economics 94% kals 1 $4.2k
October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents — Rate: No change, Dissents: 0 Economics 64% kals 1 $4.2k
CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? — Exactly 3.8% Economics 10% kals 1 $4.2k
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.5% Economics 86% kals 1 $4.1k
Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting? — Beth Hammack Economics 60% kals 1 $4.1k
US real GDP growth in 2026? — 2.6% to 3.0% Economics 15% kals 1 $4.0k
Poland rate decision in November — Maintain current rate Economics 74% kals 1 $3.9k
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $5.80 Economics 88% kals 1 $3.8k
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026 — Above 2,000 units Economics 24% kals 1 $3.8k
Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026 — Above 1,100 units Economics 98% kals 1 $3.6k
US real GDP growth in 2033? — 2.1% to 2.5% Economics 11% kals 1 $3.6k
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 4.0% Economics 20% kals 1 $3.6k
France’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -6.5% of GDP Economics 96% kals 1 $3.6k
Fed decision in Oct 2027? — Hike 25bps Economics 19% kals 1 $3.6k
CPI month-over-month in Sep 2026? — Exactly 0.5% Economics 28% kals 1 $3.4k
US real GDP growth in 2035? — 2.1% to 2.5% Economics 11% kals 1 $3.4k
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 3.1% Economics 5.5% kals 1 $3.4k
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.8% Economics 30% kals 1 $3.4k
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $5.20 Economics 96% kals 1 $3.3k
US government budget balance in 2026 — Above -8.0% of GDP Economics 36% kals 1 $3.3k
Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 — Exactly 2.50% Economics 45% kals 1 $3.2k
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $6.00 Economics 70% kals 1 $3.2k
Czech National Bank rate decision in November — Hike 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $3.2k
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.4% Economics 86% kals 1 $3.2k
Fed decision in Jan 2027? — Cut 25bps Economics 4.5% kals 1 $3.1k
Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026? — Maintains rate Economics 56% kals 1 $3.1k
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $6.40 Economics 51% kals 1 $3.1k
US government budget balance in 2026 — Above -9.0% of GDP Economics 82% kals 1 $3.0k
Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October — Maintain current rate Economics 44% kals 1 $3.0k
US real GDP growth in 2033? — 1.6% to 2.0% Economics 13% kals 1 $3.0k
September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core — Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.3% or above Economics 38% kals 1 $2.9k
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026 — Above 100.0 TWh Economics 5.5% kals 1 $2.8k
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026 — Above 2,100 units Economics 18% kals 1 $2.8k
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.1% Economics 20% kals 1 $2.8k
Swiss National Bank rate decision in December — Hike 1-25bps Economics 22% kals 1 $2.8k
Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.1% Economics 98% kals 1 $2.7k
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 0.5% Economics 86% kals 2 $2.7k
US real GDP growth in 2030? — 2.6% to 3.0% Economics 11% kals 1 $2.7k
When will the next US recession start? — Q1 2026 Economics 5.9% kals 1 $2.7k
Fed decision in Dec 2026? — Cut 25bps Economics 1.5% kals 1 $2.6k
Sweden rate decision in November — Hike 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $2.6k
Fed decision in Jun 2027? — Cut 25bps Economics 6.5% kals 1 $2.6k
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.0% Economics 20% kals 1 $2.6k
China unemployment rate in September — Above 4.9% Economics — kals 1 $2.5k
Bank of England rate decision in November — Hike 1-25bps Economics 92% kals 1 $2.5k
US real GDP growth in 2036? — 2.1% to 2.5% Economics 18% kals 1 $2.4k
Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October — Hike 1-25bps Economics 52% kals 1 $2.4k

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