polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1357 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24374 Economics 5393 Crypto 5267 Politics 2612 Commodities 2595 Financials 2282 Climate and Weather 1621 Entertainment 459 Science and Technology 215 Mentions 143

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
CPI month-over-month in Sep 2026? — Exactly 0.7% Economics 14% kals 1 $1.3k
France’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -5.0% of GDP Economics 24% kals 1 $1.3k
United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -4.0% of GDP Economics 32% kals 1 $1.3k
US headline CPI inflation in December 2028 — Above 1.5% Economics 68% kals 1 $1.2k
US real GDP growth in 2028? — 1.6% to 2.0% Economics 10% kals 1 $1.2k
US real GDP growth in 2034? — 1.6% to 2.0% Economics 13% kals 1 $1.2k
CPI in December — Above 0.5% Economics 16% kals 1 $1.2k
CPI in November — Above 0.3% Economics — kals 1 $1.2k
Russia unemployment rate in September — Above 2.1% Economics — kals 1 $1.2k
Fed decision in Jul 2027? — Cut 25bps Economics 5.5% kals 1 $1.2k
Bank of England rate decision in December — Hike 1-25bps Economics — kals 1 $1.2k
Fed decision in Jul 2027? — Hike 25bps Economics 11% kals 1 $1.2k
CPI core month-over-month in Nov 2026? — Exactly 0.3% Economics 38% kals 1 $1.2k
US real GDP growth in 2033? — 6.1% or Above Economics 4.0% kals 1 $1.1k
September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core — Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.1% or below Economics 18% kals 1 $1.1k
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 2.7% Economics 36% kals 1 $1.1k
Fed decision in Apr 2027? — Hike 25bps Economics 22% kals 1 $1.1k
How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting? — 0 Economics 28% kals 1 $1.1k
Diesel price on Election Day — Above $6.60 Economics 31% kals 1 $1.1k
Norway rate decision in November — Maintain current rate Economics 85% kals 1 $1.1k
US real GDP growth in 2031? — 2.1% to 2.5% Economics 14% kals 1 $1.1k
CPI in November — Above 0.4% Economics 12% kals 1 $1.0k
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting? — Above 5.50% Economics — kals 8 $1.0k
CPI in December — Above 0.3% Economics 44% kals 1 $1.0k
Fed decision in Jan 2028? — Fed maintains rate Economics — kals 1 $1.0k
US real GDP growth in 2033? — 0.1% to 0.5% Economics 8.0% kals 1 $1.0k
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.9% Economics — kals 1 $1.0k
Japan’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -1.5% of GDP Economics 28% kals 1 $995
CPI-U index in September — Above 336.500 Economics 74% kals 1 $987
US real GDP growth in 2033? — 4.6% to 5.0% Economics 2.5% kals 1 $985
Bank of Mexico rate decision in November — Cut 25bps Economics 22% kals 1 $983
Canada unemployment rate in October — Above 6.2% Economics 91% kals 1 $968
US real GDP growth in 2030? — 0.0% or Below Economics 10% kals 1 $966
Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken? — Reserve President Rejected Economics 12% kals 1 $931
CPI year-over-year in Nov 2026? — Exactly 3.2% Economics 8.0% kals 1 $921
CPI-U index in September — Above 336.400 Economics — kals 1 $920
US government budget balance in 2026 — Above -7.0% of GDP Economics 9.0% kals 1 $912
US headline CPI inflation in December 2036 — Above 0.5% Economics 88% kals 1 $907
US real GDP growth in 2033? — 0.0% or Below Economics 7.0% kals 1 $898
US real GDP growth in 2036? — 0.0% or Below Economics 9.0% kals 1 $898
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026 — Above 102.5 TWh Economics 2.5% kals 1 $891
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November — Hike 1-25bps Economics 20% kals 1 $872
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 3.5% Economics — kals 1 $865
Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting? — Neel Kashkari Economics 34% kals 1 $858
European Central Bank rate decision in December — Hike 1-25bps Economics 73% kals 1 $846
CPI in October — Above 0.5% Economics 3.5% kals 1 $842
CPI month-over-month in Oct 2026? — Exactly 0.3% Economics 28% kals 1 $838
Japan’s government budget balance in 2026 — Above -1.0% of GDP Economics 20% kals 1 $838
US shelter CPI in September — Above 431.0 Economics — kals 1 $829
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.6% Economics 64% kals 1 $810

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