polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1076 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24515 Economics 5393 Crypto 5259 Commodities 2811 Politics 2616 Financials 2360 Climate and Weather 1616 Entertainment 462 Science and Technology 217 Mentions 143

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 1.4% kals poly 2 $725
Who will Trump pardon? — Brian Cole Jr. Politics 14% kals 1 $724
Will Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 2.1% kals poly 2 $722
Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? — Before Jul 1, 2027 Politics 12% kals 1 $714
Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii? — Before Nov 1, 2026 Politics 14% kals 1 $714
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 250 Politics 14% kals 1 $708
How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 17 Politics 63% kals 1 $707
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Smithsonian Women’s History Museum Politics 6.6% kals 1 $704
Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 8.5% kals poly 2 $697
Who will Trump pardon? — Ty Garbin Politics 9.3% kals 1 $694
Which of these African leaders will leave office next? — Bola Tinubu Politics 13% kals 1 $691
Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms? — Yes Politics 7.6% kals 1 $686
Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term? — Before 2029 Politics 20% kals 1 $676
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm? — 4 Politics 1.8% kals 1 $667
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — Before Jan 1, 2028 Politics — kals 1 $658
How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026? — 3 to 9 Politics 64% kals 1 $651
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/11-10/17) — At least 10 Politics 1.5% kals 1 $650
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Dan J. Sullivan Politics 12% kals 1 $650
What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term? — 7 Conservatives and 2 Libera Politics 14% kals 1 $646
Will Lisa Nandy be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Politics 4.6% kals poly 2 $640
Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit? — Before 2028 Politics 19% kals 1 $632
When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 26% kals 2 $630
When will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados? — Before Dec 1, 2026 Politics 6.0% kals 3 $624
Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime? — Yes Politics 6.5% kals 1 $612
Will Yvette Cooper be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Politics 3.9% kals poly 2 $611
Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? — Before Apr 1, 2027 Politics 6.5% kals 1 $611
Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026? — Detroit Politics 15% kals 1 $607
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? — Boston Politics 26% kals 1 $605
Who will Trump pardon? — Alex Mashinsky Politics 11% kals 1 $604
Ed Davey announces departure as Liberal Democrats leader in 2026? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 18% kals 1 $603
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Mark Carney Politics 3.2% kals 1 $603
Will John Ratcliffe be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 3.1% kals poly 2 $600
Will the House amend the Protect College Sports Act? — Yes Politics 28% kals 1 $600
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — Before Apr 1, 2027 Politics 36% kals 1 $599
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Kim Jong Un Politics 3.5% kals 1 $592
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? — Atlanta Politics 6.5% kals 1 $591
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? — Above 62 Politics 8.5% kals 1 $587
Will Jamieson Greer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 1.5% kals poly 2 $586
Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms? — Yes Politics 13% kals 1 $573
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 75 Politics — kals 1 $568
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 35 Politics 1.5% kals 1 $567
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 10 Politics 21% kals 1 $565
Will cannabis banking insurance protections become law in 2026? — Yes Politics 10% kals 1 $564
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Narendra Modi Politics 5.9% kals 1 $554
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? — Mike Lee Politics 7.5% kals 1 $554
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Allison Jones Rushing Politics 1.2% kals 1 $551
Will Douglas Alexander be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Politics 3.0% kals poly 2 $547
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? — Before Jan 1, 2029 Politics 85% kals 1 $546
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — Liz Cheney Politics 6.6% kals 1 $543
Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit? — Before 2028 Politics 70% kals 1 $542

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