polyrag

Claims

One row per claim, not per contract. "Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?" and "…before 2027?" are one question asked at two deadlines, and Kalshi's wording of it is a third — so they share a row, and the deadlines become the term structure on its page. 1073 claims.

Default Everything Elections 31277 Sports 24457 Economics 5393 Crypto 5366 Commodities 2698 Politics 2612 Financials 2347 Climate and Weather 1622 Entertainment 462 Science and Technology 219 Mentions 143

claimmarketvenueshorizons traded
When will the White House announce an end to its press ban? — Before Nov 1, 2026 Politics 16% kals 4 $1.2k
Who will Trump pardon? — Susie Wiles Politics 40% kals 1 $1.2k
Who will Trump pardon? — Todd Blanche Politics 38% kals 1 $1.2k
Will Linda McMahon be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 0.9% kals poly 2 $1.2k
How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term? — At least 2 Politics 20% kals 1 $1.2k
US bans social media for children in 2026? — Yes Politics 7.1% kals 1 $1.2k
Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency? — Before Jan 1, 2028 Politics 29% kals 2 $1.2k
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 214 Politics 14% kals 1 $1.2k
Will Democrats hold a midterm convention? — Before Nov 3, 2026 Politics 4.2% kals 1 $1.2k
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 30% kals 3 $1.2k
How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — $900 billion to $1199 billion Politics 0.7% kals 1 $1.2k
How many bills with Trump veto in 2026? — At least 2 Politics 21% kals 1 $1.2k
Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026? — Canadian aircraft Politics 18% kals 1 $1.2k
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? — E. Jean Carroll Politics 7.5% kals 1 $1.2k
Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026? — San Francisco Politics 18% kals 1 $1.1k
Comey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027? Politics 8.6% kals 1 $1.1k
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 18 Politics 48% kals 1 $1.1k
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City? — Before Jan 1, 2030 Politics 34% kals 4 $1.1k
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/9-10/16)? — Above 8.7% Politics 16% kals 1 $1.1k
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? — Above 58 Politics 8.0% kals 1 $1.1k
Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York? — Yes Politics 3.2% kals 1 $1.1k
Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 5.4% kals poly 2 $1.1k
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Insulin cost cap Politics 18% kals 1 $1.1k
Who will Trump pardon? — Robin Smith Politics 38% kals 2 $1.1k
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Bill Clinton Politics 3.2% kals 1 $1.1k
Will Angela Smith be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Politics 2.5% kals poly 2 $1.1k
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 246 Politics 22% kals 1 $1.1k
How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 20 Politics 29% kals 1 $1.1k
Will DC come under federal control in 2026? — A bill ending self rule in Washington DC Politics 4.0% kals 1 $1.1k
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Mette Frederiksen Politics 6.6% kals 1 $1.1k
Will Trump order more tariffs in Oct 2026? — Yes Politics 34% kals 1 $1.1k
Will Doug Collins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 0.9% kals poly 2 $1.0k
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? — At least 16 Politics 76% kals 1 $1.0k
Will Ed Miliband be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Politics 1.9% kals poly 2 $1.0k
Which bills will become law in 2026? — White House ballroom funding Politics 7.0% kals 1 $1.0k
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Gregory G. Katsas Politics 0.5% kals 1 $1.0k
Who will be arrested in 2026? — Gavin Newsom Politics 3.9% kals 1 $1.0k
Who will be the next President of the European Central Bank? — Pablo Hernández de Cos Politics 38% kals 1 $1.0k
Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 3.5% kals 1 $1.0k
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10) — At least 10 Politics — kals 1 $999
How many bills with Trump veto in 2026? — At least 4 Politics 13% kals 1 $997
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? — any 3rd Amendment c Politics 8.5% kals 1 $996
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair? — Before Jan 1, 2031 Politics 79% kals 1 $991
Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026? — Mandatory body-worn cameras Politics 3.0% kals 1 $983
Who will Trump pardon? — Pete Rose Politics 27% kals 1 $969
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Mike Lee Politics 2.2% kals 1 $968
Will Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Politics 1.7% kals poly 2 $968
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Cyril Ramaphosa Politics 4.0% kals 1 $949
Will the Jones Act be repealed? — Before Jan 4, 2027 Politics 8.4% kals 1 $946
When will Big Bend border construction resume? — Before Jan 1, 2027 Politics 14% kals 3 $939

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